PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Referee: A. Rodrigues
SC Braga
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
M. Dorgeles · Assist: R. Zalazar
SC Braga
🟨
29'
Gabriel Moscardo
SC Braga
🟨
36'
Xeka
Estoril
🟨
38'
Demir Ege Tıknaz
SC Braga
🟨
45+1'
Felix Bacher
Estoril
🔄
46'
R. Zalazar ↔ Luisinho
SC Braga
🟨
50'
Ferro
Estoril
🔄
53'
Ferro ↔ A. Lacximicant
Estoril
🔄
61'
A. El Ouazzani ↔ F. Navarro
SC Braga
🔄
70'
J. Moutinho ↔ P. Oliveira
SC Braga
🔄
70'
P. Amaral ↔ G. Costa
Estoril
79'
Y. Begraoui · Assist: R. Sanchez
Estoril
🔄
80'
Y. Begraoui ↔ A. Marques
Estoril
🔄
80'
R. Guitane ↔ Peixinho
Estoril
🔄
81'
R. Sanchez ↔ P. Carvalho
Estoril
🟨
90+2'
Luís Pinto
SC Braga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Braga Win 88%
Draw 0%
Estoril Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Braga1.81
Estoril1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Braga SC Braga
WWDLW
95 GF / 44 GA
Estoril Estoril
WLDWL
51 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.65
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
23
BTTS Yes
17
28
Over 2.5
20
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Braga SC Braga 50 matches
Estoril Estoril 31 matches
SC Braga Statistic Estoril
29 Wins 10
12 Draws 7
9 Losses 14
95 Goals For 51
44 Goals Against 52
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
23 BTTS Yes 17
36 Over 1.5 23
28 Over 2.5 20
16 Over 3.5 17
23 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.03
10.52 Total Shots 11.58
4.64 Corners 4.48
54.7% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SC Braga's more proactive style and Estoril's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SC Braga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 56 points compared to Estoril in 10 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Braga expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Estoril in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estoril having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Estoril arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Estoril.

SC Braga Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 56 points from 31 games, SC Braga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 59:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Zalazar (16 goals), R. Horta (14 goals), P. Victor (8 goals), with creative support from R. Zalazar (4 assists), R. Horta (4 assists), P. Victor (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Estoril Analysis

Estoril sit 10 with 37 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 51:52, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Begraoui (19 goals), João Carvalho (6 goals), Alejandro Marqués (4 goals), with creative support from João Carvalho (11 assists), Jordan Holsgrove (7 assists), R. Guitane (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 9 times, Estoril won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:9 from SC Braga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SC Braga 3-4-1-2 / Estoril 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: SC Braga wins 9, draws 5, Estoril wins 1
Stats
SC Braga SC Braga
Estoril Estoril
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
478 Total passes 481
400 Passes accurate 406
0.41 expected_goals 0.89
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Braga
Formation
Estoril
L. Hornicek
L. Hornicek
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho
Vitor Carvalho
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo
M. Dorgeles
M. Dorgeles
J. Moutinho
J. Moutinho
D. E. Tiknaz
D. E. Tiknaz
L. Lelo
L. Lelo
R. Zalazar
🎯
R. Zalazar
P. Victor
P. Victor
A. El Ouazzani
A. El Ouazzani
M. Turk
M. Turk
F. Bacher
F. Bacher
Ferro
Ferro
A. Tsoungui
A. Tsoungui
R. Sanchez
🎯
R. Sanchez
Xeka
Xeka
J. Holsgrove
J. Holsgrove
P. Amaral
P. Amaral
R. Guitane
R. Guitane
Y. Begraoui
Y. Begraoui
J. Carvalho
J. Carvalho
SC Braga 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hornicek
G
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
D
17
Gabriel Moscardo
🟨 29'
D
20
M. Dorgeles
⚽ 23'
M
8
J. Moutinho
↓ 70'
M
34
D. E. Tiknaz
🟨 38'
M
5
L. Lelo
M
10
R. Zalazar
🎯 23' ↓ 46'
F
18
P. Victor
F
9
A. El Ouazzani
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
12
T. Sa
G
53
J. Noro
41
Y. da Rocha
M
70
R. Mordomo
92
A. Gil
M
15
P. Oliveira
↑ 70'
D
39
F. Navarro
↑ 61'
F
96
A. Sousa
90
Luisinho
↑ 46' 🟨 90+2'
M
Estoril 3-4-3
Starting XI
16
M. Turk
G
25
F. Bacher
🟨 45+1'
D
4
Ferro
↓ 53' 🟨 50'
D
5
A. Tsoungui
D
2
R. Sanchez
🎯 79' ↓ 81'
M
8
Xeka
🟨 36'
M
10
J. Holsgrove
M
24
P. Amaral
↓ 70'
M
99
R. Guitane
↓ 80'
F
14
Y. Begraoui
⚽ 79' ↓ 80'
F
12
J. Carvalho
F
Substitutes
1
J. Robles
G
21
Pizzi
M
20
G. Costa
↑ 70'
D
9
A. Marques
↑ 80'
F
7
N. Lominadze
M
19
A. Lacximicant
↑ 53'
F
97
L. Gomes
M
22
P. Carvalho
↑ 81'
D
70
Peixinho
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: SC Braga
22.07.26
UEF
SC Braga
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Vizela
5
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Stoke City
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
Last matches: Estoril
25.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Torreense
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Alverca
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Atlético CP
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Nacional
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Estoril
AVS
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Santa Clara
4
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Guimaraes
4
2
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Estrela
5
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
H2H: SC Braga vs Estoril
03.05.26
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
19.12.25
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
1
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
0
2
W
06.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
2
D
13.04.24
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
0
1
W
27.01.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
W
08.04.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
4
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
0
2
W
18.04.22
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
W
03.03.18
H2H
Estoril
SC Braga
0
6
W
01.10.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
6
0
W
06.02.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
Last matches: SC Braga
18.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Guimaraes
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Rio Ave
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Alverca
5
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Braga
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
15.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
SC Braga
Genk
3
4
L
26.10.25
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Braga
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
H2H at home: SC Braga
03.05.26
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
06.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
2
D
27.01.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
W
08.04.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
4
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
W
01.10.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
6
0
W
06.02.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
Last matches: Estoril
22.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Alverca
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Nacional
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Estoril
AVS
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Santa Clara
4
2
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Estrela
5
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
4
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
4
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
31.08.25
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pri
Estoril
Guimaraes
2
3
L
H2H away: Estoril
03.05.26
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
06.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
2
D
27.01.24
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
L
08.04.23
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
4
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
2
0
L
17.12.20
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
3
1
L
01.10.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
6
0
L
06.02.17
H2H
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D