ITALY COPPA ITALIA
02.09.2026 13:00
Penalties 4-3
1 - 1
Mapei Stadium
Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
Sassuolo
Match Timeline
Frosinone
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
B. Dominguez
Sassuolo
45'
A. Terzic · Assist: L. Hasa
Frosinone
🔄
46'
F. Grillitsch ↔ M. Cichella
Frosinone
🔄
55'
C. Volpato ↔ D. Berardi
Sassuolo
🔄
55'
B. Dominguez ↔ A. Lauriente
Sassuolo
🔄
55'
R. Obrador ↔ I. Van der Brempt
Sassuolo
🟨
60'
Kevin Akpoguma
Frosinone
🔄
62'
K. Akpoguma ↔ O. Fayed
Frosinone
🔄
62'
A. Terzic ↔ G. Cittadini
Frosinone
🔄
63'
D. Birligea ↔ T. Bobcek
Frosinone
🔄
65'
L. Lipani ↔ S. Esposito
Sassuolo
🟨
68'
Simone Cinquegrano
Sassuolo
🟨
73'
Stefano Turati
Sassuolo
VAR
75'
Matteo Cichella
Frosinone
🔄
80'
K. Bowie ↔ D. Bakola
Sassuolo
🔄
80'
A. El Azzouzi ↔ P. Masini
Frosinone
🟨
90'
Patrizio Masini
Frosinone

Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 3.81
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.2%
3.81
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.67
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88%
1.30
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Sassuolo Win 41.3%
Draw 4.5%
Frosinone Win 54.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sassuolo1.22
Frosinone1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sassuolo Sassuolo
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Frosinone Frosinone
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
7.67
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 matches
Frosinone Frosinone 8 matches
Sassuolo Statistic Frosinone
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
13 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 7
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
7.67 Shots On Goal 5
19.67 Total Shots 15
4 Corners 4
49.3% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo won 4 times, Frosinone won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Sassuolo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Sassuolo 4-2-3-1 / Frosinone 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sassuolo wins 4, draws 2, Frosinone wins 2