Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sassuolo
36 matches
AC Milan
38 matches
| Sassuolo | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 7 |
| 42 | Goals For | 53 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.39 |
| 10.75 | Total Shots | 13.76 |
| 4.06 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AC Milan's more proactive style and Sassuolo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. AC Milan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 67 points while Sassuolo sit 10 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward AC Milan. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sassuolo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and AC Milan in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Milan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Sassuolo sit 10 with 46 points after 34 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, while the 41:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Pinamonti (8 goals), Domenico Berardi (7 goals), Ismael Koné (6 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (8 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), C. Volpato (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
AC Milan arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 67 points after 34 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 48:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), A. Rabiot (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rabiot (4 assists), R. Leao (3 assists), C. Pulisic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo won 4 times, AC Milan won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from Sassuolo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Sassuolo
4
1
5
5
4
1
Lineups
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
Sassuolo
Trento
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Padova
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Udinese
Sassuolo
Inter
AC Milan
Chelsea
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Celtic
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Lecce
Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Padova
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Inter
Sassuolo
Cremonese
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Pisa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Udinese
AC Milan
Chelsea
AC Milan
Celtic
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Juventus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Away
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sassuolo
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|