Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.3%
|
1.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.42 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.08 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 matches
Valerenga
28 matches
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | Statistic | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 42 | Goals For | 55 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.61 |
| 12.5 | Total Shots | 16.28 |
| 4.89 | Corners | 6.72 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 49.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valerenga. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Sarpsborg 08 FF are currently 9 in the standings with 22 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Daniel Karlsbakk (5 goals), Andreas Hansen (3 goals), Sondre Sörli (2 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (4 assists), Sondre Sörli (3 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 17 matches, Valerenga have collected 21 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lucas Haren (7 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (4 goals), Carl Lange (3 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (6 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (4 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, Valerenga won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 50 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 31 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Valerenga
Away
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | -14 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | -19 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|