NORWAY ELITESERIEN
18.09.2026 17:00
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 77.1%
Draw 6.1%
KFUM Oslo Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.61
KFUM Oslo1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
45 GF / 42 GA
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WLDWL
31 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
18
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
14
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 31 matches
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 28 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic KFUM Oslo
13 Wins 7
8 Draws 7
10 Losses 14
45 Goals For 31
42 Goals Against 52
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
18 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 7
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.95
12.5 Total Shots 10.35
4.9 Corners 4.2
44.8% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KFUM Oslo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and KFUM Oslo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KFUM Oslo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 24 points from 19 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Karlsbakk (5 goals), S. Sørli (3 goals), A. Nibe (3 goals), with creative support from C. Niyukuri (4 assists), S. Sørli (3 assists), S. Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo sit 14 with 19 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 20:33 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Njie (4 goals), Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 goals), R. Vinge (2 goals), with creative support from Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 assists), J. Hjorth (2 assists), Robin Rasch (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 4 times, KFUM Oslo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 4, draws 1, KFUM Oslo wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen