NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: S. Amland
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Fredrikstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
J. Berget ↔ V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
17'
F. Holme
Fredrikstad
🟨
20'
Menno Koch
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
30'
Leonard Owusu
Fredrikstad
🟨
36'
Sondre Sörli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
41'
V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
45+4'
Mamour Ndiaye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
45+5'
Rocco Robert Shein
Fredrikstad
🟨
45+4'
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Fredrikstad
🟨
65'
Aimar Sher
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
65'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
66'
S. Leach ↔ H. Skogvold
Fredrikstad
🔄
79'
S. Rafn ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🔄
79'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ S. Laghzaoui
Fredrikstad
🟨
82'
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrikstad
🔄
86'
A. Nibe ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
86'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
VAR
90+12'
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
90'
V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 39.1%
Draw 27.4%
Fredrikstad Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.57
Fredrikstad1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 17 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 14 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Fredrikstad
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
26 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 23
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.29 Total Shots 11.57
5.14 Corners 4.57
46.6% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fredrikstad. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fredrikstad in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 13 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Sher (1 goals), C. Niyukuri (1 goals), D. Karlsbakk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (1 assists), B. Utvik (1 assists), M. Opoku (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad sit 12 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from D. Eid (1 assists), J. Nunez (1 assists), O. Ohlenschlaeger (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, Fredrikstad won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1 / Fredrikstad 5-3-2
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 5, Fredrikstad 3
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3, draws 2, Fredrikstad wins 3
Stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 3
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
453 Total passes 315
355 Passes accurate 224
2.11 expected_goals 0.77
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation
Fredrikstad
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
C. Niyukuri
C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik
B. Utvik
M. Koch
M. Koch
A. Hiim
A. Hiim
A. Sher
A. Sher
S. Christiansen
S. Christiansen
S. Sorli
S. Sorli
J. Berget
J. Berget
A. Nibe
A. Nibe
D. Karlsbakk
D. Karlsbakk
M. Borsheim
M. Borsheim
F. Holme
F. Holme
U. Fredriksen
U. Fredriksen
J. Norbye
J. Norbye
D. Eid
D. Eid
S. Leach
S. Leach
L. Owusu
L. Owusu
R. R. Shein
R. R. Shein
S. Rafn
S. Rafn
O. Ohlenschlaeger
O. Ohlenschlaeger
S. Sorlokk
S. Sorlokk
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Ndiaye
🟨 45+4'
G
12
C. Niyukuri
↓ 65'
D
4
B. Utvik
D
2
M. Koch
🟨 20'
D
21
A. Hiim
D
6
A. Sher
🟨 65'
M
8
S. Christiansen
M
10
S. Sorli
🟨 36'
M
14
J. Berget
↓ 16'
M
33
A. Nibe
↓ 86'
M
11
D. Karlsbakk
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
87
L. Oy
G
32
E. Wichne
D
17
N. Williams
↑ 86'
M
22
V. E. Halvorsen
⚽ 41' ⚽ 90' ↑ 16'
M
81
M. Svenningsen Gronn
M
5
M. Odegaard
↑ 65'
D
26
Chriso
M
18
B. Gueye
↑ 86'
M
50
M. M. Eidal
D
Fredrikstad 3-5-2
Starting XI
77
M. Borsheim
G
4
F. Holme
⚽ 17' 🟨 82'
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
18
J. Norbye
D
16
D. Eid
M
6
S. Leach
↓ 66'
M
24
L. Owusu
🟨 30'
M
21
R. R. Shein
🟨 45+5'
M
5
S. Rafn
↓ 79'
M
20
O. Ohlenschlaeger
↓ 79' 🟨 45+4'
F
13
S. Sorlokk
F
Substitutes
1
O. Ovretveit
G
23
H. Skogvold
↑ 66'
F
19
F. Ghebreyohannes
↑ 79'
D
14
M. Nilsson
M
26
J. Nysveen
D
3
A. Andresen
D
7
B. Faraas
M
9
S. Laghzaoui
↑ 79'
M
15
E. Granaas
M
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
Last matches: Fredrikstad
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
H2H: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad
09.05.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
2
L
01.06.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
18.03.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
W
22.05.19
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
W
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
3
0
W
H2H at home: Sarpsborg 08 FF
09.05.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
08.11.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
2
L
28.09.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
Last matches: Fredrikstad
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
2
2
D
21.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
H2H away: Fredrikstad
09.05.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
2
W
28.09.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
0
1
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 0 2 33:13 20 33
W W L W W
2 14 10 2 2 34:11 23 32
W W W D W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 13 6 2 5 21:17 4 20
L D W L W
6 14 6 1 7 28:22 6 19
W W L L L
7 13 5 3 5 14:16 -2 18
D W W W L
8 13 5 3 5 20:25 -5 18
L L D D W
9 13 5 2 6 19:22 -3 17
W L W L W
10 13 4 3 6 15:18 -3 15
W W D L L
11 13 4 3 6 13:17 -4 15
L D L D L
12 13 4 2 7 15:23 -8 14
L L W D W
13 13 3 3 7 13:21 -8 12
L L D W L
14 13 2 6 5 18:28 -10 12
L D D D W
15 13 3 3 7 11:21 -10 12
D L L L W
16 14 1 4 9 14:33 -19 7
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Sarpsborg 08 FF 5 missing
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Reinhardsen
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Camil Mmaee
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Opoku
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Fredrikstad 3 missing
-
S. Kvile
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Owusu
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Nunez
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT