ARGENTINA COPA ARGENTINA
17.07.2026 00:45
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Referee: N. Arasa
Sarmiento Junin
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
T. Santamaria
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
41'
R. Orihuela
Sarmiento Junin
51'
A. Velasco · Assist: M. Delgado
Boca Juniors
🔄
57'
G. Diaz ↔ E. Gimenez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
57'
M. Martinez ↔ M. Garcia
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
64'
M. Delgado
Boca Juniors
🔄
70'
J. Contrera ↔ J. Mavilla
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
70'
J. Marabel ↔ Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
71'
L. Flores · Assist: L. Blanco
Boca Juniors
🔄
73'
L. Flores ↔ K. Zenon
Boca Juniors
🔄
73'
A. Velasco ↔ Carlos Palacios
Boca Juniors
🔄
84'
S. Ascacibar ↔ W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
Boca Juniors
🔄
85'
T. Aranda ↔ Angel Romero
Boca Juniors
🔄
88'
C. Zabala ↔ P. Magnin
Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.5%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 43.5%
Draw 14.4%
Boca Juniors Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin0.76
Boca Juniors1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
14 GF / 20 GA
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WLDWL
35 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
9
3.56
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 17 matches
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 27 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic Boca Juniors
7 Wins 13
1 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
14 Goals For 35
20 Goals Against 18
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 6
3.56 Shots On Goal 4.78
9.88 Total Shots 13.39
3.5 Corners 5.22
47.4% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 1 times, Boca Juniors won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:14 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / Boca Juniors 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 1, draws 2, Boca Juniors wins 7