BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sao Raimundo Win 31.2%
Draw 5.2%
Porto Velho Win 63.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Raimundo0.96
Porto Velho2.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo
WWDLW
10 GF / 7 GA
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WLDWL
33 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
3.3
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
2
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 10 matches
Porto Velho Porto Velho 10 matches
Sao Raimundo Statistic Porto Velho
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
10 Goals For 33
7 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 3.3
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
2 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Porto Velho. Sao Raimundo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Porto Velho having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sao Raimundo Analysis

Sao Raimundo come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 10:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on G. Gomes (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Porto Velho Analysis

Porto Velho come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 18 points from 10 matches. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 33:9, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Ruan Costa (8 goals), Jeferson (5 goals), Luan Viana (4 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sao Raimundo won 2 times, Porto Velho won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Sao Raimundo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Sao Raimundo wins 2, draws 1, Porto Velho wins 1
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
14.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
0
D
Last matches: Porto Velho
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
1
1
D
H2H: Sao Raimundo vs Porto Velho
26.06.24
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
4
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
5
1
L
11.06.22
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
0
1
W
21.05.22
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
2
2
D
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
30.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sao Raimundo
26.06.24
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
4
1
W
21.05.22
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
2
2
D
Last matches: Porto Velho
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
0
2
L
20.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
3
4
L
H2H away: Porto Velho
26.06.24
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
4
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
2
2
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)