BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Sao Raimundo
Match Timeline
Nacional AM
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
67'
Renanzinho
Nacional AM
83'
Gustavo Vintecinco
Nacional AM
🟥
89'
Sao Raimundo
Sao Raimundo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sao Raimundo Win 22.2%
Draw 39.1%
Nacional AM Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Raimundo0.96
Nacional AM1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
1
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 5 matches
Nacional AM Nacional AM 5 matches
Sao Raimundo Statistic Nacional AM
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 8
1 Goals Against 6
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional AM. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional AM having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sao Raimundo Analysis

Sao Raimundo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 9 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 4:1 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Emerson (1 goals), Guigui (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Nacional AM Analysis

Nacional AM come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 10 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Anderson Alagoano (2 goals), Ryan Luka (2 goals), Felipe Kauan (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sao Raimundo won 1 times, Nacional AM won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:9 from Sao Raimundo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.8%)
H2H summary: Sao Raimundo wins 1, draws 2, Nacional AM wins 3
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
28.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
0
D
Last matches: Nacional AM
18.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H: Sao Raimundo vs Nacional AM
10.05.26
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
24.06.23
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
3
0
L
27.05.18
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
1
D
22.04.18
H2H
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
3
0
L
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sao Raimundo
10.05.26
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
L
24.06.23
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
0
W
27.05.18
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
1
D
Last matches: Nacional AM
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H away: Nacional AM
10.05.26
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
W
24.06.23
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
0
L
27.05.18
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)