Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
55.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
6 matches
Ponte Preta
6 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 5 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 9.5 | Total Shots | 10.33 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 38.8% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around São Bernardo's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ponte Preta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. São Bernardo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 10 points compared to Ponte Preta in 15 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
São Bernardo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 10 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Daniel Amorim (1 goals), Felipe Garcia (1 goals), Foguinho (1 goals), with creative support from Echapora (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (1 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Phelipe (1 assists), Brandao (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 4 times, Ponte Preta won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:3 from São Bernardo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
São Bernardo
6
0
3
6
2
5
Lineups
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 12 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:22 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:33 | -18 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|