BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: D. Lacerda
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Luizão
São Bernardo
🔄
49'
Pedro Vitor ↔ Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🟨
51'
Raí
Juventude
🟨
54'
Aderlan
Juventude
🔄
62'
Rai Silva ↔ Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
62'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
66'
Alisson Safira · Assist: Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
69'
MP ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
69'
Messias ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude
🟨
71'
Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🟨
75'
Augusto
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
Foguinho ↔ Hyoran
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
Echapora ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🟨
85'
Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
Juventude
🔄
87'
Aderlan ↔ Allanzinho
Juventude
🟨
90+6'
Luis Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
90+1'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
🔄
90'
Para ↔ Mario Sergio
São Bernardo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 66%
Draw 5.2%
Juventude Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.17
Juventude0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
20 GF / 10 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
13 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
4
3.92
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 13 matches
Juventude Juventude 13 matches
São Bernardo Statistic Juventude
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
20 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 8
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 5
3.92 Shots On Goal 4.46
10.15 Total Shots 12.54
3.46 Corners 4.23
43.5% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventude in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventude. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. São Bernardo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to Juventude in 12 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 24 points after 12 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 20:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Daniel Amorim (2 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Felipe Garcia (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude sit 12 with 16 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), Alisson Safira (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Juventude won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from São Bernardo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-2-3-1 / Juventude 3-4-3
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 0, draws 0, Juventude wins 1
Stats
São Bernardo São Bernardo
Juventude Juventude
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
10 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
511 Total passes 382
455 Passes accurate 313
0.85 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

São Bernardo
Formation
Juventude
Alex Alves
Alex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira
Rodrigo Ferreira
Augusto
Augusto
Luizao
Luizao
Para
Para
Dudu Miraima
Dudu Miraima
Foguinho
Foguinho
Pedro Vitor
Pedro Vitor
Romisson
Romisson
Echapora
Echapora
Felipe Garcia
Felipe Garcia
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Aderlan
Aderlan
Rai Silva
Rai Silva
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
Diogo Barbosa
Diogo Barbosa
Fabio Lima
Fabio Lima
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
São Bernardo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Alex Alves
G
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
97
Augusto
🟨 75'
D
90
Luizao
6
Para
↓ 90'
D
26
Dudu Miraima
M
8
Foguinho
↓ 78'
M
11
Pedro Vitor
↓ 49'
M
17
Romisson
M
27
Echapora
↓ 78'
M
9
Felipe Garcia
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
40
Matheus Nogueira
G
30
Junior Urso
M
22
Pablo Dyego
↑ 90+1'
F
42
Hyoran
↑ 78'
M
77
Marcao Silva
M
3
Helder Maciel
D
25
W. Gonzaga
7
Lucas Rian
↑ 49' 🟨 71'
F
37
D. Davi
↑ 78'
F
33
Mario Sergio
↑ 90'
D
19
Neto Costa
F
21
Hugo Sanches
D
Juventude 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
4
Messias
↓ 69'
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
13
Aderlan
↓ 87' 🟨 54'
M
75
Rai Silva
↓ 62' 🟨 51'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
↓ 62'
M
16
Diogo Barbosa
M
11
Fabio Lima
F
10
MP
↓ 69'
F
25
Alisson Safira
⚽ 66'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
21
Ruan Carneiro
G
3
Titi
D
2
Rai Ramos
D
20
Allanzinho
↑ 87'
F
44
Mandaca
🎯 66' ↑ 62' 🟨 90+6'
M
27
Ray Breno
6
Wadson
D
17
M. Castro
↑ 69'
F
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
↑ 69' 🟨 85'
D
30
Patryck
D
5
Luan Martins
↑ 62'
D
Last matches: São Bernardo
07.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
3
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
3
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Avai
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
Last matches: Juventude
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
H2H: São Bernardo vs Juventude
21.06.26
H2H
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
Last matches: São Bernardo
26.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
3
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Avai
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
H2H at home: São Bernardo
21.06.26
H2H
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
Last matches: Juventude
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
H2H away: Juventude
21.06.26
H2H
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
8 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
9 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
10 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
11 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
12 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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