BRAZIL › SERIE B

02.10.2026 22:30

São Bernardo

3 - 1

CRB

Estadio Primeiro de Maio

Referee: Matheus De Moraes Silva, Brazil

São Bernardo vs CRB H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

São Bernardo

Match Timeline

CRB

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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São Bernardo vs CRB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 68%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	68%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

São Bernardo Win 32%

Draw 21.1%

CRB Win 46.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

São Bernardo1.35

CRB1.31

Recent Form (Last 5)

São Bernardo

WWDLW

40 GF / 31 GA

CRB

WLDWL

45 GF / 41 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

1.5

1.03

Average Goals Conceded

1.37

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.23

Shots on Goal

5.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo 30 matches

CRB 30 matches

São Bernardo	Statistic	CRB
11	Wins	14
9	Draws	6
10	Losses	10
40	Goals For	45
31	Goals Against	41
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
1.03	Avg Goals Conceded	1.37
17	BTTS Yes	16
21	Over 1.5	23
13	Over 2.5	18
5	Over 3.5	9
9	Clean Sheets	8
6	Failed To Score	7
4.23	Shots On Goal	5.97
11.83	Total Shots	18.4
4.67	Corners	5.1
47.6%	Ball Possession	52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CRB. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and CRB in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo sit 12 with 41 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 40:31 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedro Vitor (4 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 8 with 45 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 42:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mikael (13 goals), Crystopher (4 goals), Thiaguinho (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael (4 assists), Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Crystopher (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 1 times, CRB won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from São Bernardo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)

Predicted formations: São Bernardo 3-4-3 / CRB 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 1, draws 0, CRB wins 0

Standings

Serie B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46:31	15	61	W D W W W
2	Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59:28	31	60	W W W D L
3	Juventude	33	17	9	7	39:21	18	60	D W W W L
4	Fortaleza EC	33	15	12	6	39:29	10	57	D W D D W
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34:28	6	56	W L W W L
6	Atletico Goianiense	33	14	11	8	41:31	10	53	D L W W L
7	CRB Away	33	15	7	11	51:47	4	52	D W L W L
8	Sport Recife	33	13	12	8	45:35	10	51	D W W L W
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34:40	-6	48	W W L L W
10	Operario-PR	33	13	9	11	44:45	-1	48	L L L D W
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32:26	6	47	L D W L W
12	São Bernardo Home	33	12	10	11	46:36	10	46	D L W D W
13	Athletic Club	33	10	13	10	40:39	1	43	D L L D D
14	Nautico Recife	33	11	9	13	39:42	-3	42	L L D W L
15	Ceara	33	11	9	13	35:40	-5	42	L W W D W
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37:38	-1	41	W W L W D
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33:43	-10	36	W W L L L
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42:49	-7	29	D L L L L
19	America Mineiro	33	4	5	24	21:54	-33	17	L L L L L
20	Ponte Preta	33	3	4	26	18:73	-55	13	L L L L W

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