Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
São Bernardo
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
17 matches
Avai
17 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 18 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.06 |
| 10.53 | Total Shots | 10.47 |
| 3.53 | Corners | 3.35 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by São Bernardo's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. São Bernardo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 26 points compared to Avai in 18 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai.
São Bernardo sit 7 with 26 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 23:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Avai sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:24, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), Jean Lucas (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Douglas Teixeira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Avai won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from São Bernardo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
São Bernardo
3
2
3
1
5
2
Lineups
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
Avai
Juventude
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
Nautico Recife
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Avai
Juventude
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
CRB
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 27 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 |
Avai
Away
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | -24 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
L
|