MEXICO LIGA MX
17.08.2026 01:10
Estadio TSM Corona
Referee: Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce
Santos Laguna
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
53'
Eduardo Aguirre ↔ Ramiro Sordo
Santos Laguna
🔄
53'
Richard Ledezma ↔ Santiago Sandoval
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
64'
Jordan Carrillo ↔ Efrain Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
66'
Diego González ↔ Kevin Palacios
Santos Laguna
🔄
66'
Aldo Lopez Vargas ↔ Salvador Mariscal
Santos Laguna
VAR
73'
Santiago Sandoval
Guadalajara Chivas
75'
Ricardo Marín
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
81'
Ricardo Marín ↔ Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
81'
Hugo Camberos ↔ Fernando González
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
82'
Brian Gutiérrez ↔ Miguel Gómez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
84'
Efrain Orona ↔ Tahiel Jiménez
Santos Laguna
🟨
90+5'
Mauricio Cuevas
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santos Laguna Win 31.4%
Draw 27.2%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 41.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos Laguna0.8
Guadalajara Chivas0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWDLW
6 GF / 9 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
0
3.33
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 6 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 6 matches
Santos Laguna Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
6 Goals For 3
9 Goals Against 3
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
3.33 Shots On Goal 7
11.67 Total Shots 19.67
6.67 Corners 11.67
49.3% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna won 3 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from Santos Laguna's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.8%)
Predicted formations: Santos Laguna 5-3-2 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Santos Laguna wins 3, draws 4, Guadalajara Chivas wins 8

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)