MEXICO LIGA MX
14.09.2026 01:00
Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Match Timeline
FC Juarez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Efrain Orona
Santos Laguna
🟨
19'
Oscar Estupiñan
FC Juarez
🟨
27'
Diego González
Santos Laguna
🟨
27'
Monchu
FC Juarez
VAR
31'
Mauricio Cuevas
Santos Laguna
🔄
33'
Efrain Orona ↔ Emmanuel Echeverria
Santos Laguna
🟨
52'
Emmanuel Echeverria
Santos Laguna
54'
Oscar Estupiñan
FC Juarez
🔄
56'
Eduardo Aguirre ↔ Esteban Lozano
Santos Laguna
🔄
58'
Ían Torres ↔ Luca Dupuy
FC Juarez
🔄
58'
Rodrigo Dourado ↔ Juan Alexander Sigala García
FC Juarez
64'
Ezequiel Bullaude · Assist: Mauricio Cuevas
Santos Laguna
🔄
68'
Oscar Estupiñan ↔ Madson de Souza Silva
FC Juarez
🔄
68'
Francisco Nevarez ↔ Javier Aquino
FC Juarez
🟨
73'
Mauricio Cuevas
Santos Laguna
78'
Esteban Lozano · Assist: Ezequiel Bullaude
Santos Laguna
🔄
79'
Monchu ↔ Ricardo Oliveira
FC Juarez
🔄
82'
Diego González ↔ Ramiro Sordo
Santos Laguna
🔄
82'
Kevin Palacios ↔ L. Gómez
Santos Laguna
🔄
82'
Francisco Villalba ↔ Javier Guemez
Santos Laguna
🟨
88'
Jesus Murillo
FC Juarez
90'
Franco Pardo
Santos Laguna
🟨
90+1'
Denzell Garcia
FC Juarez

Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73%
1.28
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.2%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Santos Laguna Win 39.7%
Draw 33.3%
FC Juarez Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos Laguna1.38
FC Juarez1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWDLW
8 GF / 14 GA
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WLDWL
15 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
3
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
2.71
Shots on Goal
1.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 10 matches
FC Juarez FC Juarez 12 matches
Santos Laguna Statistic FC Juarez
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
8 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 27
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
3 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 4
2.71 Shots On Goal 1.57
11.86 Total Shots 8.14
7 Corners 2.57
49.4% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Juarez. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos Laguna expected to line up in 3-4-3 and FC Juarez in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Juarez having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Santos Laguna Analysis

Santos Laguna sit 17 with 1 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 4:11, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through E. Aguirre (1 goals), Lucas Di Yorio (1 goals), with creative support from Felipe Sánchez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez sit 18 with 0 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 3:21, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from J. Torres (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna won 6 times, FC Juarez won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Santos Laguna's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73%)
Predicted formations: Santos Laguna 3-4-3 / FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Santos Laguna wins 6, draws 3, FC Juarez wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)