BRAZIL SERIE C
04.07.2026 22:30
Referee: W. Souza
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Ituano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🟨
38'
Richard
Ituano
🟨
41'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Tiago Marques ↔ Quirino
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Thiago Ennes ↔ Renato
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Neto Berola ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
56'
Renato
Santa Cruz
🔄
59'
Vitinho ↔ Silva
Santa Cruz
🔄
64'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
🔄
64'
Richard ↔ Leo Passos
Ituano
🔄
68'
Ronald ↔ Nilton
Santa Cruz
🟨
72'
Ituano
Ituano
🔄
75'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Felipe Muranga
Ituano
🟨
76'
Gabriel William
Ituano
🔄
81'
Everaldo ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🔄
81'
Tiaguinho ↔ Guilherme Dal Pian
Ituano

Santa Cruz vs Ituano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 40.7%
Draw 18.7%
Ituano Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz0.95
Ituano1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
Ituano Ituano
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 13 matches
Ituano Ituano 12 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Ituano
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
12 Goals For 15
10 Goals Against 12
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 2 times, Ituano won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 2, draws 1, Ituano wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation