BRAZIL SERIE C
20.09.2026 19:00

Santa Cruz vs Floresta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.5%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 41.7%
Draw 18.9%
Floresta Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz1
Floresta0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
12
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 22 matches
Floresta Floresta 21 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Floresta
10 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
22 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Floresta. Floresta look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control.

Santa Cruz Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Santa Cruz have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 30 points after 19 matches. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:20, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
W D D W L
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
D W L W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D L W
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation