PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

20.09.2026 17:00

Santa Clara

SC Braga

Santa Clara vs SC Braga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 66%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 54.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 55.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	66%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	54.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	86.9%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Santa Clara Win 66%

Draw 4.5%

SC Braga Win 29.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara1.47

SC Braga1.26

Recent Form (Last 5)

Santa Clara

WWDLW

23 GF / 6 GA

SC Braga

WLDWL

26 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

2.09

Average Goals Scored

1.73

0.55

Average Goals Conceded

0.53

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.17

Shots on Goal

3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Clara 11 matches

SC Braga 15 matches

Santa Clara	Statistic	SC Braga
8	Wins	10
3	Draws	4
0	Losses	1
23	Goals For	26
6	Goals Against	8
2.09	Avg Goals Scored	1.73
0.55	Avg Goals Conceded	0.53
5	BTTS Yes	5
9	Over 1.5	8
6	Over 2.5	7
3	Over 3.5	5
6	Clean Sheets	10
0	Failed To Score	2
4.17	Shots On Goal	3.5
13.67	Total Shots	7
3.5	Corners	3.8
44.8%	Ball Possession	46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara won 3 times, SC Braga won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:33 from Santa Clara's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)

Predicted formations: Santa Clara 4-3-3 / SC Braga 3-4-3

H2H summary: Santa Clara wins 3, draws 4, SC Braga wins 8

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	6	6	0	0	15:2	13	18	W W W W W
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	21:4	17	16	W W W W W
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15:6	9	14	D W W W W
4	Santa Clara Home	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14	W W D W W
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10	L D W L W
6	Estrela	5	2	3	0	11:9	2	9	W D W D D
7	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7:9	-2	8	W W L D L
8	SC Braga Away	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L W W D
9	GIL Vicente	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7	L L D W W
10	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L D W W
11	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5	W L D L D
12	Famalicao	6	0	4	2	5:7	-2	4	D D D L L
13	Vitória SC	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4	L D L W L
14	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4	L L L L W
15	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	4:12	-8	4	L L W L D
16	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	2:11	-9	3	L L W L L
17	Estoril	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	D L L L D
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1:15	-14	1	L D L L L