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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Santa Clara
FT
2 - 2
Nacional
Estadio de São Miguel
Referee: H. Carvalho
Santa Clara
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
G. Paciencia
Santa Clara
⚽
21'
G. Paciencia · Assist: Diogo Calila
Santa Clara
🟨
24'
Vinícius Lopes
Santa Clara
⚽
36'
Liziero
Nacional
🟨
39'
Daniel Borges
Santa Clara
🟨
40'
Wesley Gasolina
Nacional
⚽
45'
M. Baeza
Nacional
🔄
61'
J. Silva ↔ F. Soares
Nacional
🔄
68'
J. Tavares ↔ T. Ribeiro
Santa Clara
🔄
68'
Vinicius Lopes ↔ Welinton Torrao
Santa Clara
🟨
70'
Filipe Soares
Nacional
🔄
72'
M. Baeza ↔ S. Gavriel
Nacional
🔄
73'
Wesley Gasolina ↔ D. I. de la Cruz
Nacional
🔄
79'
Daniel Borges ↔ Rildo
Santa Clara
🔄
80'
Sorriso ↔ Fernando
Santa Clara
🔄
80'
M. Jensen ↔ Mateus Iseppe
Nacional
🔄
80'
Daniel Junior ↔ Deivison
Nacional
🔄
85'
Diogo Calila ↔ Lucas Soares
Santa Clara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santa Clara Win 77%
Draw 4.6%
Nacional Win 18.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Clara2.08
Nacional0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Clara Santa Clara
WWDLW
12 GF / 2 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 matches
Nacional Nacional 5 matches
Santa Clara Statistic Nacional
4 Wins 0
1 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 5
2 Goals Against 8
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara won 8 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from Santa Clara's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Santa Clara 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-3
H2H summary: Santa Clara wins 8, draws 5, Nacional wins 2
Stats
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
385 Total passes 370
314 Passes accurate 293
1.43 expected_goals 1.23
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Santa Clara
Formation
Nacional
Lucas Franca
Lucas Franca
Diogo Calila
🎯 ↓
Diogo Calila
S. Lima
S. Lima
P. Pacheco
P. Pacheco
Guilherme Romao
Guilherme Romao
P. Ferreira
P. Ferreira
Daniel Borges
↓
Daniel Borges
Sorriso
↓
Sorriso
J. Tavares
↓
J. Tavares
Vinicius Lopes
↓
Vinicius Lopes
G. Paciencia
⚽ 2
G. Paciencia
R. Marin
R. Marin
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Wesley Gasolina
↓
Wesley Gasolina
Liziero
⚽
Liziero
J. Silva
↓
J. Silva
M. Jensen
↓
M. Jensen
M. Baeza
⚽ ↓
M. Baeza
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan
Daniel Junior
↓
Daniel Junior
Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Lucas Franca
G
2
Diogo Calila
🎯 21' ↓ 85'
D
23
S. Lima
D
4
P. Pacheco
D
5
Guilherme Romao
D
6
P. Ferreira
M
41
Daniel Borges
↓ 79' 🟨 39'
M
99
Sorriso
↓ 80'
M
8
J. Tavares
↓ 68'
M
70
Vinicius Lopes
↓ 68' 🟨 24'
M
9
G. Paciencia
⚽ 19' ⚽ 21'
F
Substitutes
12
Neneca
G
42
Lucas Soares
↑ 85'
D
20
T. Ribeiro
↑ 68'
M
37
Rildo
↑ 79'
F
85
A. Infante
D
88
Hiago Santos
M
11
Welinton Torrao
↑ 68'
F
17
Vasconcelos
M
21
E. Fernandes
D
22
Vitinho
M
7
Fernando
↑ 80'
F
Nacional 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
R. Marin
G
34
Leo Santos
D
6
Matheus Dias
D
38
Ze Vitor
D
52
Wesley Gasolina
↓ 73' 🟨 40'
M
28
Liziero
⚽ 36'
M
26
J. Silva
↓ 61'
M
7
M. Jensen
↓ 80'
M
8
M. Baeza
⚽ 45' ↓ 72'
F
99
Pablo Ruan
F
10
Daniel Junior
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
22
F. Soares
↑ 61' 🟨 70'
M
15
C. Labidi
M
30
Watts
M
2
D. I. de la Cruz
↑ 73'
D
23
Mateus Iseppe
↑ 80'
M
88
Deivison
↑ 80'
M
11
S. Gavriel
↑ 72'
M
33
C. Goncalves
D
Last matches: Santa Clara
15.08.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Arouca
3
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Paredes
2
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Leça
4
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
2
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Vitória SC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estrela
0
1
L
Last matches: Nacional
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
H2H: Santa Clara vs Nacional
10.08.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
2
D
11.05.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
11.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
30.03.25
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
0
W
04.11.24
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
0
1
L
11.01.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
2
W
11.04.21
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
5
1
W
06.12.20
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
3
W
30.08.20
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
1
W
24.02.19
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
30.09.18
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
3
W
15.04.18
H2H
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
Last matches: Santa Clara
25.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Arouca
3
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Paredes
2
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Leça
4
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Vitória SC
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estoril
2
4
L
18.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
L
21.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
0
0
D
06.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Santa Clara
10.08.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
2
D
11.05.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
0
1
L
11.01.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
1
D
11.04.21
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
5
1
W
30.08.20
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
1
W
24.02.19
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
10.08.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
2
D
11.05.26
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
0
1
W
11.01.24
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
1
D
11.04.21
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
5
1
L
30.08.20
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
1
L
24.02.19
H2H
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
L

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arouca
2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2
FC Porto
2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
3
Maritimo
2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
4
Benfica
2 1 1 0 9:2 7 4
W D
5
Nacional Away
2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
6
Santa Clara Home
2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
W D
7
Sporting CP
2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
8
GIL Vicente
1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9
Estrela
2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
10
SC Braga
1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11
Academico Viseu
2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
12
Famalicao
2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
13
Estoril
2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
14
Alverca
2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
15
Moreirense
2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
16
Vitória SC
2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
17
Rio Ave
2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
18
Casa Pia
2 0 0 2 0:8 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2