PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
10.08.2026 19:15
Estadio de São Miguel
Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Santa Clara
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
G. Paciencia
Santa Clara
21'
G. Paciencia · Assist: Diogo Calila
Santa Clara
🟨
24'
Vinícius Lopes
Santa Clara
36'
Liziero
Nacional
🟨
39'
Daniel Borges
Santa Clara
🟨
40'
Wesley Gasolina
Nacional
45'
M. Baeza
Nacional
🔄
61'
J. Silva ↔ F. Soares
Nacional
🔄
68'
J. Tavares ↔ T. Ribeiro
Santa Clara
🔄
68'
Vinicius Lopes ↔ Welinton Torrao
Santa Clara
🟨
70'
Filipe Soares
Nacional
🔄
72'
M. Baeza ↔ S. Gavriel
Nacional
🔄
73'
Wesley Gasolina ↔ D. I. de la Cruz
Nacional
🔄
79'
Daniel Borges ↔ Rildo
Santa Clara
🔄
80'
Sorriso ↔ Fernando
Santa Clara
🔄
80'
M. Jensen ↔ Mateus Iseppe
Nacional
🔄
80'
Daniel Junior ↔ Deivison
Nacional
🔄
85'
Diogo Calila ↔ Lucas Soares
Santa Clara

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Clara Win 77%
Draw 4.6%
Nacional Win 18.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Clara2.08
Nacional0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Clara Santa Clara
WWDLW
12 GF / 2 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 matches
Nacional Nacional 5 matches
Santa Clara Statistic Nacional
4 Wins 0
1 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 5
2 Goals Against 8
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara won 8 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from Santa Clara's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Santa Clara 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-3
H2H summary: Santa Clara wins 8, draws 5, Nacional wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 6 2 4 0 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
7 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W L W W D
8 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 6 2 1 3 7:11 -4 7
L L L D W
11 6 2 1 3 7:13 -6 7
W L L W L
12 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
13 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
14 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
15 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 5:14 -9 4
D L L W L
17 6 0 2 4 2:8 -6 2
L D L L L
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2