Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
39.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Santa Clara
Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Clara
38 matches
Nacional
32 matches
| Santa Clara | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 11 | Draws | 7 |
| 17 | Losses | 17 |
| 37 | Goals For | 35 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 2.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 9.87 | Total Shots | 12.81 |
| 4.18 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 42.4% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional.
Santa Clara are currently 13 in the standings with 33 points from 32 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 30:40 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Silva (6 goals), Vinícius Lopes (6 goals), Serginho (4 goals), with creative support from Serginho (3 assists), Wendell (2 assists), Welinton (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nacional sit 14 with 31 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 35:43 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jesús Ramírez (16 goals), Paulinho Bóia (4 goals), Ze Vitor (4 goals), with creative support from Jose Gomes (5 assists), Liziero (4 assists), Paulinho Bóia (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara won 8 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:16 from Santa Clara's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Santa Clara
1
1
8
8
3
3
Lineups
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
AVS
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
AVS
Nacional
Tondela
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Larne
Santa Clara
NK Varazdin
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
AVS
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Santa Clara
Home
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Away
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|