Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 matches
Nagoya Grampus
17 matches
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Statistic | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 28 | Goals For | 29 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 16.24 | Total Shots | 13.59 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.24 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nagoya Grampus.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4 with 27 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 27:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Suzuki (4 goals), K. Kinoshita (3 goals), M. Kato (3 goals), with creative support from S. Higashi (5 assists), A. Suzuki (3 assists), M. Kato (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 31 points from 17 games, Nagoya Grampus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 31:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Y. Yamagishi (9 goals), Y. Kimura (8 goals), Hidemasa Koda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Nakayama (7 assists), Teruki Hara (3 assists), Y. Kimura (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
4
4
7
3
2
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Nagoya Grampus
Away
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|