Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.6%
|
1.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.51 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.38 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 matches
Cerezo Osaka
6 matches
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Statistic | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 13 | Goals For | 5 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 19.83 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 6.67 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 57.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and Cerezo Osaka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerezo Osaka. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 11 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 11:2, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Suzuki (4 goals), S. Haller (2 goals), Mutsuki Kato (1 goals), with creative support from S. Haller (1 assists), Mutsuki Kato (1 assists), Shiotani Tsukasa (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Cerezo Osaka are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 5:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Sakuragawa (3 goals), Yumeki Yokoyama (1 goals), Thiago Andrade (1 goals), with creative support from J. Irvine (1 assists), S. Kagawa (1 assists), K. Okazawa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 11 times, Cerezo Osaka won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 17 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Cerezo Osaka
Away
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|