JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
12.09.2026 10:00
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match Timeline
Cerezo Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Akito Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18'
Shun Ayukawa · Assist: Shunki Higashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45+3'
Akito Suzuki · Assist: Shuto Nakano
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
45'
Sho Sasaki ↔ Kim Ju-sung
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55'
Shuto Nakano · Assist: Akito Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57'
Shun Ayukawa · Assist: Mutsuki Kato
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
VAR
58'
Shun Ayukawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
62'
Mutsuki Kato ↔ Takumu Kawamura
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
62'
Hayao Kawabe ↔ Taishi Matsumoto
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
63'
Thiago Andrade ↔ Yumeki Yokoyama
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
63'
Shinnosuke Hatanaka ↔ Shinji Kagawa
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
63'
Javi Hernández ↔ Ayumu Ohata
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
63'
Hayato Okuda ↔ Pablo Sabbag
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
68'
Yotaro Nakajima ↔ Sota Koshimichi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
75'
Lucas Fernandes ↔ Satoki Uejo
Cerezo Osaka
80'
Shun Ayukawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
81'
Shun Ayukawa ↔ Rento Noguchi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
87'
Pablo Sabbag
Cerezo Osaka
90+1'
Satoki Uejo · Assist: Shinji Kagawa
Cerezo Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
1.60
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 62.6%
Draw 8.4%
Cerezo Osaka Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.63
Cerezo Osaka0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WWDLW
13 GF / 5 GA
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6 matches
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 6 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Statistic Cerezo Osaka
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
13 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 5
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
7 Shots On Goal 3
19.83 Total Shots 11.67
5.67 Corners 6.67
57% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and Cerezo Osaka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerezo Osaka. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 11 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 11:2, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Suzuki (4 goals), S. Haller (2 goals), Mutsuki Kato (1 goals), with creative support from S. Haller (1 assists), Mutsuki Kato (1 assists), Shiotani Tsukasa (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cerezo Osaka Analysis

Cerezo Osaka are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 5:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Sakuragawa (3 goals), Yumeki Yokoyama (1 goals), Thiago Andrade (1 goals), with creative support from J. Irvine (1 assists), S. Kagawa (1 assists), K. Okazawa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 11 times, Cerezo Osaka won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1 / Cerezo Osaka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 11, draws 3, Cerezo Osaka wins 1

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League