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Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FT
2 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Referee: Y. Sutani
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match Timeline
Cerezo Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
Thiago Andrade
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
46'
Thiago Andrade ↔ S. Sakuragawa
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
53'
Ayumu Ohata
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
56'
T. Arslan ↔ K. Kinoshita
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
56'
Y. Nakajima ↔ S. Nakano
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
63'
Shiotani Tsukasa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
63'
S. Homma ↔ S. Uejo
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
72'
A. Suzuki ↔ N. Maeda
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
72'
M. Kato ↔ R. Germain
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
78'
M. Shibayama ↔ S. Kagawa
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
78'
H. Okuda ↔ D. Cools
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
85'
T. Matsumoto ↔ M. Ohara
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
⚽
86'
D. Cools
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
88'
M. Nakajima ↔ Y. Yokoyama
Cerezo Osaka
VAR
90+1'
Kinoshita Kosuke
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
⚽
90'
K. Kinoshita
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 41.5%
Draw 23%
Cerezo Osaka Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.3
Cerezo Osaka1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WWDLW
18 GF / 18 GA
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
4.91
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 matches
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Statistic Cerezo Osaka
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 5
18 Goals For 12
18 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
4.91 Shots On Goal 3.91
16.91 Total Shots 10.73
6.09 Corners 4.55
55.4% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 11 times, Cerezo Osaka won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77%)
Predicted formations: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1 / Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 11, draws 3, Cerezo Osaka wins 1
Stats
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 6
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
520 Total passes 368
416 Passes accurate 275
2.66 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Formation
Cerezo Osaka
K. Osako
K. Osako
T. Shiotani
T. Shiotani
H. Araki
H. Araki
S. Sasaki
S. Sasaki
N. Arai
N. Arai
Y. Nakajima
↓
Y. Nakajima
T. Matsumoto
↓
T. Matsumoto
S. Higashi
S. Higashi
M. Kato
↓
M. Kato
T. Arslan
↓
T. Arslan
A. Suzuki
↓
A. Suzuki
K. Nakamura
K. Nakamura
H. Okuda
↓
H. Okuda
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
S. Hatanaka
S. Hatanaka
A. Ohata
A. Ohata
N. Ishiwatari
N. Ishiwatari
S. Tanaka
S. Tanaka
M. Shibayama
↓
M. Shibayama
M. Nakajima
↓
M. Nakajima
S. Homma
↓
S. Homma
Thiago Andrade
⚽ ↓
Thiago Andrade
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Osako
G
33
T. Shiotani
🟨 63'
D
4
H. Araki
D
19
S. Sasaki
D
13
N. Arai
M
35
Y. Nakajima
↓ 56'
M
14
T. Matsumoto
↓ 85'
M
24
S. Higashi
M
11
M. Kato
↓ 72'
30
T. Arslan
↓ 56'
F
10
A. Suzuki
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
99
I. Ouchi
G
18
D. Suga
M
3
T. Yamasaki
D
41
N. Maeda
↑ 72'
F
17
K. Kinoshita
⚽ 90' ↑ 56'
F
25
Y. Chajima
M
9
R. Germain
↑ 72'
F
40
M. Ohara
↑ 85'
M
15
S. Nakano
↑ 56'
D
Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
K. Nakamura
G
16
H. Okuda
↓ 78'
D
4
R. Inoue
D
44
S. Hatanaka
D
66
A. Ohata
🟨 53'
D
18
N. Ishiwatari
M
10
S. Tanaka
M
48
M. Shibayama
↓ 78'
M
13
M. Nakajima
↓ 88'
M
19
S. Homma
↓ 63'
M
11
Thiago Andrade
⚽ 12' ↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
21
Kim Jin-Hyeon
G
8
S. Kagawa
↑ 78'
M
27
D. Cools
⚽ 86' ↑ 78'
D
5
H. Kida
M
35
K. Yoshino
M
7
S. Uejo
↑ 63'
M
9
S. Sakuragawa
↑ 46'
F
3
H. Tanaka
D
14
Y. Yokoyama
↑ 88'
M
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06.06.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
23.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
4
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
27.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
06.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3
4
L
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
3
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
24.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
3
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
6
1
W
09.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
0
0
D
18.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
07.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
22.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
1
2
L
07.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
H2H: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
25.04.26
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
22.02.26
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
31.08.25
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
21.10.23
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
07.09.22
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
27.08.22
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
3
W
18.06.22
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
21.11.20
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
W
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
23.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
14.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25.04.26
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
18.06.22
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
3
1
W
24.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
3
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
0
0
D
11.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
28.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
15.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
H2H away: Cerezo Osaka
25.04.26
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
18.06.22
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
W

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka Away
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Home
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)