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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
17.10.2026 13:00
Jernvallens Arena

Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.31
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.3%
2.31 ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sandviken Win 39.1%
Draw 17.6%
Ostersunds FK Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandviken1.36
Ostersunds FK1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandviken Sandviken
WWDLW
53 GF / 51 GA
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
21
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
13
3.17
Shots on Goal
1.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandviken Sandviken 35 matches
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 35 matches
Sandviken Statistic Ostersunds FK
12 Wins 13
9 Draws 12
14 Losses 10
53 Goals For 42
51 Goals Against 40
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
21 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 9
3.17 Shots On Goal 1.88
4.65 Total Shots 3.71
3.13 Corners 3.58
34.2% Ball Possession 33.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ostersunds FK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandviken expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ostersunds FK in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ostersunds FK having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sandviken Analysis

Sandviken sit 9 with 34 points after 25 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 41:35 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Christian Wagner (2 goals), Linus Tagesson (1 goals), with creative support from Linus Tagesson (2 assists), Karl Bohm (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Ostersunds FK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 43 points after 25 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 33:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sandviken won 3 times, Ostersunds FK won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from Sandviken's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Sandviken 4-2-3-1 / Ostersunds FK 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sandviken wins 3, draws 1, Ostersunds FK wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 52:16 36 58
W W D W D
2 26 14 6 6 48:34 14 48
W D W W L
3 26 13 6 7 45:34 11 45
D W W L D
4 26 11 11 4 34:25 9 44
D D W D W
5 26 12 7 7 42:28 14 43
W W W L W
6 26 10 9 7 40:34 6 39
W L D W W
7 26 11 3 12 38:40 -2 36
L L W L L
8 26 9 9 8 38:42 -4 36
L L D L W
9 26 9 7 10 43:38 5 34
L W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 36:47 -11 30
L D L W L
11 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
D L L W D
12 26 8 5 13 34:47 -13 29
L W L W D
13 26 5 12 9 30:35 -5 27
W D L L L
14 26 6 8 12 41:48 -7 26
W L D D L
15 26 5 10 11 28:40 -12 25
D L D W L
16 26 6 1 19 19:57 -38 19
L W L L W
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