SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
19.09.2026 15:00
Jernvallens Arena
Referee: Max Persson
Sandviken
Match Timeline
Orebro SK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
christopher rogers
Sandviken
7'
Karl Holmberg · Assist: Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul
Orebro SK
24'
Karl Holmberg · Assist: Erdal Rakip
Orebro SK
36'
Victor Backman · Assist: Karl Bohm
Sandviken
🟨
39'
Jakub·Ojrzynski
Orebro SK
🟨
45'
Victor Backman
Sandviken
🟨
50'
Johan Arvidsson
Sandviken
🔄
67'
Karl Bohm ↔ Daniel Bergman
Sandviken
🔄
67'
christopher rogers ↔ Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
Sandviken
71'
Fabian Andersson · Assist: Victor Backman
Sandviken
🔄
74'
Samuel Wikman ↔ Jacob Ortmark
Orebro SK
79'
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
Sandviken
🔄
80'
Erdal Rakip ↔ Edwin Ibrahimbegovic
Orebro SK
🔄
82'
Wilhelm Nilsson ↔ Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletun
Sandviken
🔄
87'
Mohammed Mahammed ↔ Isac·Lindholm
Sandviken
🔄
87'
Victor Backman ↔ Yabets yaya yaliso
Sandviken
🔄
88'
Manasse Kusu ↔ Christopher Redenstrand
Orebro SK
🟨
88'
Yabets yaya yaliso
Sandviken
89'
Johan Arvidsson
Sandviken
🟨
90+1'
Sandviken
Sandviken

Sandviken vs Orebro SK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds 2.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.4%
2.27
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Sandviken Win 54.4%
Draw 16.3%
Orebro SK Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandviken1.39
Orebro SK1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandviken Sandviken
WWDLW
46 GF / 46 GA
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WLDWL
43 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
19
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
17
3
Shots on Goal
2.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandviken Sandviken 32 matches
Orebro SK Orebro SK 32 matches
Sandviken Statistic Orebro SK
10 Wins 10
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 11
46 Goals For 43
46 Goals Against 42
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
19 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 8
3 Shots On Goal 2.1
4.29 Total Shots 4.24
3 Corners 2.29
32.6% Ball Possession 29.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Sandviken's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orebro SK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandviken expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Orebro SK in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orebro SK having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sandviken Analysis

Sandviken are currently 9 in the standings with 30 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 36:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Christian Wagner (2 goals), Linus Tagesson (1 goals), with creative support from Linus Tagesson (2 assists), Karl Bohm (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Orebro SK Analysis

With 23 points from 23 games and a place of 14, Orebro SK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 24:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Karl Holmberg (1 goals), Antonio Yakoub (1 goals), Ahmed Yasin (1 goals), with creative support from Karl Holmberg (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sandviken won 3 times, Orebro SK won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Sandviken's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Sandviken 4-2-3-1 / Orebro SK 5-3-2
H2H summary: Sandviken wins 3, draws 2, Orebro SK wins 3

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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