NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
10.05.2026 15:00
Jotun Arena
Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway
Sandefjord
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Xander Lambrix
Sandefjord
⚽
45'
R. Alte · Assist: E. Pettersen
Sandefjord
🟨
55'
Adrian Kurd Rønning
Kristiansund BK
🔄
62'
L. Alvheim ↔ P. Meliga
Kristiansund BK
🔄
64'
E. Patoulidis ↔ B. Berntsen
Sandefjord
⚽
66'
N. Moller · Assist: V. Egeli
Sandefjord
🔄
71'
A. Ronning ↔ T. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
71'
S. Kilen ↔ J. Isaksen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
71'
W. Igor ↔ N. Odegard
Kristiansund BK
🟨
79'
Julius Mar Juliusson
Kristiansund BK
🔄
82'
E. Pettersen ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
🔄
82'
M. Melchior ↔ J. Vester
Sandefjord
🔄
82'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
89'
H. Bruseth ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
🔄
90+3'
V. Egeli ↔ G. Hojbjerg
Sandefjord

Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 79.7%
Draw 10.2%
Kristiansund BK Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.32
Kristiansund BK1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
26 GF / 20 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
4
5
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 17 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 14 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Kristiansund BK
10 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
26 Goals For 15
20 Goals Against 14
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
5 Shots On Goal 4.67
16.86 Total Shots 11.5
6.29 Corners 3.67
53.6% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kristiansund BK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kristiansund BK. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 8 with 10 points after 7 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Patoulidis (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), S. Mathisen (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Xander Lambrix (1 assists), Z. Smajlovic (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 9 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Meliga (3 goals), Leander Alvheim (2 goals), M. Isah (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 5 times, Kristiansund BK won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Sandefjord's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-2-3-1 / Kristiansund BK 4-3-3
Missing players: Sandefjord 2, Kristiansund BK 2
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 5, draws 2, Kristiansund BK wins 6

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen