NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
03.05.2026 15:00
Jotun Arena
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway
Sandefjord
Match Timeline
Aalesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Emil Engqvist
Aalesund
🟨
29'
Nikolaj Möller
Sandefjord
🔄
46'
I. Djantou ↔ D. Johannsson
Aalesund
🔄
46'
E. Engqvist ↔ U. Syversen
Aalesund
🔄
58'
U. Charles ↔ M. Andresen
Aalesund
🔄
58'
H. Melland ↔ H. Hammer
Aalesund
🔄
71'
M. Melchior ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
🔄
71'
B. Berntsen ↔ E. Pettersen
Sandefjord
🟨
72'
Mathias Christensen
Aalesund
🔄
72'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🟨
79'
Marius Andresen
Aalesund
🔄
83'
K. Lonebu ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
⚽
88'
S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
90+2'
V. Egeli ↔ S. Kristiansen
Sandefjord

Sandefjord vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 92%
Draw 6.4%
Aalesund Win 1.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.74
Aalesund1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
25 GF / 20 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
21 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2
8
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
4.67
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 16 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 13 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Aalesund
9 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
25 Goals For 21
20 Goals Against 26
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2
8 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5
15.17 Total Shots 13.67
6 Corners 4.5
52.2% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aalesund. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. Sandefjord arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 7 points compared to Aalesund in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 4:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Patoulidis (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), S. Mork (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Xander Lambrix (1 assists), Z. Smajlovic (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aalesund Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 16, Aalesund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Lonebu (4 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), I. Djantou (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 7 times, Aalesund won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Sandefjord's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (98.4%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-2-3-1 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: Sandefjord 2, Aalesund 3
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 7, draws 2, Aalesund wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen