ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL

02.08.2026 18:00

San Telmo

1 - 0

San Miguel

Estadio Osvaldo Baletto

San Telmo

Match Timeline

San Miguel

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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San Telmo vs San Miguel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 64.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 54.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 65.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	64.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	54.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	65.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Draw	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

San Telmo Win 35.1%

Draw 22.4%

San Miguel Win 42.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

San Telmo0.92

San Miguel0.9

Recent Form (Last 5)

San Telmo

WWDLW

17 GF / 23 GA

San Miguel

WLDWL

17 GF / 24 GA

Key Stats

0.81

Average Goals Scored

0.77

1.1

Average Goals Conceded

1.09

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo 21 matches

San Miguel 22 matches

San Telmo	Statistic	San Miguel
4	Wins	5
8	Draws	11
9	Losses	6
17	Goals For	17
23	Goals Against	24
0.81	Avg Goals Scored	0.77
1.1	Avg Goals Conceded	1.09
8	BTTS Yes	9
12	Over 1.5	15
7	Over 2.5	6
4	Over 3.5	2
8	Clean Sheets	8
10	Failed To Score	9
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 3 times, San Miguel won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from San Telmo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)

H2H summary: San Telmo wins 3, draws 6, San Miguel wins 1

Standings

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	30	17	7	6	35:25	10	58	W D D D W
2	Deportivo Moron	30	16	7	7	48:29	19	55	L W W W D
3	Godoy Cruz	30	15	7	8	38:26	12	52	W W W W L
4	Deportivo Madryn	30	13	10	7	44:28	16	49	W L W L W
5	Colon Santa Fe	30	13	9	8	38:25	13	48	W L L L W
6	Almirante Brown	30	12	10	8	23:17	6	46	L D D W W
7	CA Estudiantes	30	11	9	10	27:25	2	42	W W L D L
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	30	9	12	9	24:27	-3	39	L D L W D
9	Los Andes	30	8	13	9	22:20	2	37	L D D D D
10	Chaco For Ever	30	9	9	12	27:29	-2	36	W D W D W
11	Defensores De Belgrano	30	8	12	10	23:26	-3	36	W W D W L
12	Racing Cordoba	30	9	8	13	26:36	-10	35	L L L W D
13	All Boys	30	6	14	10	17:26	-9	32	D L W D L
14	Atletico Mitre	30	6	14	10	27:37	-10	32	L D D D L
15	Central Norte	30	6	13	11	19:28	-9	31	L D D D D
16	San Miguel Away	30	6	13	11	24:34	-10	31	D D L L L
17	San Telmo Home	30	7	10	13	23:34	-11	31	L W D L W
18	Acassuso	30	6	8	16	21:34	-13	26	W L L D L

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

Relegation