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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
21.08.2026 18:30
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
San Telmo
Match Timeline
Deportivo Moron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
🟥
21'
E. Diaz
San Telmo
⚽
42'
F. Fagundez · Assist: S. Kubiszyn
Deportivo Moron
🟨
45+1'
N. Molina
San Telmo
🔄
46'
G. Paredes ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo
🔄
46'
M. Batallini ↔ J. Porto
San Telmo
⚽
46'
F. Baez · Assist: J. Motroni
San Telmo
🟨
50'
E. Britez
San Telmo
🟨
56'
J. Olivares
Deportivo Moron
🔄
62'
M. Bittolo ↔ G. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
62'
M. Levato ↔ F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🔄
66'
M. Gonzalez ↔ L. Britez
San Telmo
🟨
68'
E. Iniguez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
78'
S. Kubiszyn ↔ M. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
78'
J. Olivares ↔ E. Contreras
Deportivo Moron
🔄
79'
E. Britez ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🔄
79'
P. Romero ↔ C. Nunez
San Telmo
🟥
83'
F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🟥
90+6'
J. Motroni
San Telmo
🔄
90'
F. Fagundez ↔ E. Lazza
Deportivo Moron
⚽
90'
J. Porto · Assist: N. Molina
San Telmo

San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Telmo Win 31.9%
Draw 15%
Deportivo Moron Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Telmo0.82
Deportivo Moron1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Telmo San Telmo
WWDLW
18 GF / 27 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
41 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo San Telmo 24 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 26 matches
San Telmo Statistic Deportivo Moron
5 Wins 14
8 Draws 5
11 Losses 7
18 Goals For 41
27 Goals Against 24
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
8 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Moron's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Moron carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 41 points while San Telmo sit 15 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Telmo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Moron. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 15 with 23 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 18:24, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Placed 2 with 41 points from 23 outings, Deportivo Moron continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 37:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 4 times, Deportivo Moron won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from San Telmo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: San Telmo wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Moron wins 8

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
12 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation