ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
19.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
San Telmo
Match Timeline
CA Estudiantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
R. Uriburu
San Telmo
🟨
25'
Caro Nicolas
CA Estudiantes
🔄
51'
G. Paredes ↔ R. Gamarra
San Telmo
🟨
60'
E. Diaz
San Telmo
63'
D. Rostagno · Assist: F. Sena
CA Estudiantes
🔄
66'
Caro Nicolas ↔ B. Bernardi
CA Estudiantes
🟨
67'
F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
🔄
67'
F. Ardiles ↔ F. Dure
CA Estudiantes
🟨
70'
P. Romero
San Telmo
🔄
72'
P. Romero ↔ J. Gonzalez
San Telmo
🔄
73'
M. Batallini ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🔄
73'
R. Uriburu ↔ J. Porto
San Telmo
🔄
74'
D. Rostagno ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
74'
E. Acosta ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🔄
79'
J. Motroni ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo
🔄
81'
M. Acosta ↔ B. Sanchez de Leon
CA Estudiantes
🟨
83'
F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🟨
90+4'
L. Pollacchi
San Telmo

San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 3.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.5%
1.40
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
3.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
San Telmo Win 46.5%
Draw 5.5%
CA Estudiantes Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Telmo0.83
CA Estudiantes0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Telmo San Telmo
WWDLW
23 GF / 33 GA
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
10
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo San Telmo 29 matches
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 30 matches
San Telmo Statistic CA Estudiantes
7 Wins 10
10 Draws 9
12 Losses 11
23 Goals For 26
33 Goals Against 27
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
10 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Estudiantes having the stronger overall control. CA Estudiantes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 36 points while San Telmo sit 17 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. CA Estudiantes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CA Estudiantes.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 17 with 28 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 22:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes sit 9 with 36 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 25:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 3 times, CA Estudiantes won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:22 from San Telmo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: San Telmo wins 3, draws 2, CA Estudiantes wins 9

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation