Login Register
ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
San Telmo
Match Timeline
Almirante Brown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
E. Britez · Assist: M. Gonzalez
San Telmo
⚽
11'
M. Batallini · Assist: N. Molina
San Telmo
🟨
36'
J. Motroni
San Telmo
⚽
39'
M. Zanotti
Almirante Brown
🔄
46'
J. Motroni ↔ J. Porto
San Telmo
🔄
46'
M. Batallini ↔ R. Gamarra
San Telmo
⚽
52'
J. Porto · Assist: N. Molina
San Telmo
⚽
62'
L. Jara
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
G. Flores ↔ J. Lopez
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
M. Levi ↔ G. Moreyra
Almirante Brown
🟨
69'
M. Gonzalez
San Telmo
🔄
72'
M. Gonzalez ↔ R. Dinocco
San Telmo
🟨
74'
San Telmo
San Telmo
🟨
74'
M. Abreliano
Almirante Brown
🔄
82'
L. Pascual ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
84'
R. Uriburu ↔ G. Paredes
San Telmo
🔄
84'
L. Jara ↔ S. Gauna
Almirante Brown
🔄
84'
M. Zanotti ↔ T. Zarate
Almirante Brown
🔄
90+1'
N. Molina ↔ C. Nunez
San Telmo

San Telmo vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Telmo Win 26.9%
Draw 21.2%
Almirante Brown Win 51.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Telmo0.72
Almirante Brown0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Telmo San Telmo
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
10
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo San Telmo 31 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 31 matches
San Telmo Statistic Almirante Brown
8 Wins 12
10 Draws 10
13 Losses 9
25 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 18
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
10 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 18
15 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Almirante Brown's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Almirante Brown carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 46 points while San Telmo sit 17 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Almirante Brown.

San Telmo Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 17, San Telmo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats with a 23:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown sit 6 with 46 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 2 times, Almirante Brown won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from San Telmo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
H2H summary: San Telmo wins 2, draws 5, Almirante Brown wins 8

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 33 16 9 8 42:29 13 57
D W D W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 33 9 13 11 25:24 1 40
L L W L D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 10 10 13 30:39 -9 40
W D D L L
12 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
13 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 33 6 16 11 18:28 -10 34
D L D D L
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation