ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
Match Timeline
Ferro Carril Oeste
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
E. Dening · Assist: A. Gonzalez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
37'
L. Parisi
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
46'
E. De la Cruz ↔ G. Fernandez
San Miguel
🟨
63'
K. Ceceri
San Miguel
🔄
67'
E. Hoyos ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
68'
E. Dening
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
68'
E. Dening ↔ M. Benegas
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
69'
D. Juarez ↔ M. Oses
San Miguel
🟨
70'
L. Pena Biafore
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
75'
L. Parisi ↔ N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
76'
M. Benegas
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
L. Marra ↔ G. Olguin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
83'
I. Ramirez ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
🔄
83'
J. Ferrero ↔ T. Jerez
San Miguel
🟨
85'
K. Nazareno
Ferro Carril Oeste
87'
L. Delgado · Assist: L. Delgado
San Miguel
🟨
88'
F. Monetti
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
88'
G. Canto
Ferro Carril Oeste

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Miguel Win 31%
Draw 3.9%
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 65.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Miguel0.81
Ferro Carril Oeste1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Miguel San Miguel
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
9
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Miguel San Miguel 20 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 19 matches
San Miguel Statistic Ferro Carril Oeste
5 Wins 11
10 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
17 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 14
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
9 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ferro Carril Oeste's more proactive style and San Miguel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferro Carril Oeste having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ferro Carril Oeste. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ferro Carril Oeste look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ferro Carril Oeste carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while San Miguel sit 10 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

San Miguel Analysis

San Miguel are currently 10 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 34 points after 18 outings. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel won 2 times, Ferro Carril Oeste won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from San Miguel's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: San Miguel wins 2, draws 2, Ferro Carril Oeste wins 2

Lineups

San Miguel
Formation
Ferro Carril Oeste
D. Sappa
D. Sappa
D. Adin
D. Adin
D. Renteria
D. Renteria
K. Ceceri
K. Ceceri
F. Cardozo
F. Cardozo
D. Juarez
D. Juarez
I. Ramirez
I. Ramirez
M. Serra
M. Serra
E. De la Cruz
E. De la Cruz
J. Ferrero
J. Ferrero
L. Delgado
🎯
L. Delgado
F. Monetti
F. Monetti
K. Nazareno
K. Nazareno
L. Pena Biafore
L. Pena Biafore
G. Canto
G. Canto
E. Ozuna
E. Ozuna
A. Gonzalez
🎯
A. Gonzalez
L. Marra
L. Marra
F. Obradovich
F. Obradovich
E. Hoyos
E. Hoyos
L. Parisi
L. Parisi
E. Dening
E. Dening
San Miguel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Sappa
4
D. Adin
2
D. Renteria
6
K. Ceceri
🟨 63'
3
F. Cardozo
7
D. Juarez
↓ 69'
5
I. Ramirez
↓ 83'
8
M. Serra
11
E. De la Cruz
↓ 46'
10
J. Ferrero
↓ 83'
9
L. Delgado
⚽ 87' 🎯 87'
Substitutes
13
F. Aguirre
16
F. Almeida
↑ 83'
14
A. Cruz
17
T. Diaz
19
G. Fernandez
↑ 46'
20
T. Jerez
↑ 83'
12
M. Ledesma Reynoso
18
M. Oses
↑ 69'
15
L. Perez
Ferro Carril Oeste 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Monetti
🟨 88'
4
K. Nazareno
🟨 85'
2
L. Pena Biafore
🟨 70'
6
G. Canto
🟨 88'
3
E. Ozuna
7
A. Gonzalez
🎯 24'
8
L. Marra
↓ 79'
5
F. Obradovich
10
E. Hoyos
↓ 67'
9
L. Parisi
↓ 75' 🟨 37'
11
E. Dening
⚽ 24' ↓ 68' 🟨 68'
Substitutes
20
M. Benegas
↑ 68' 🟨 76'
16
G. Castellani
↑ 67'
14
S. Corda
18
F. Garcia
17
N. Gomez
↑ 75'
19
J. Menendez
15
G. Olguin
↑ 79'
12
L. Ruiz
13
M. Taron
Last matches: San Miguel
02.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
01.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
0
4
L
17.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
28.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
H2H: San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste
11.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
21.02.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
0
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
0
W
12.10.24
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
26.05.24
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
L
Last matches: San Miguel
26.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
0
W
25.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
11.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
28.10.23
Pri
San Miguel
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
23.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
2
2
D
09.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
2
1
W
26.08.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Merlo
4
1
W
05.08.23
Pri
San Miguel
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
22.07.23
Pri
San Miguel
UAI Urquiza
0
1
L
08.07.23
Pri
San Miguel
Talleres Remedios
2
1
W
24.06.23
Pri
San Miguel
Argentino de Merlo
3
0
W
H2H at home: San Miguel
11.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
0
W
12.10.24
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
26.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
0
4
L
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
0
W
H2H away: Ferro Carril Oeste
11.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
0
L
12.10.24
H2H
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation