ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
22.08.2026 18:30
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
Match Timeline
Colon Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
A. Cruz
San Miguel
45'
A. Toledo · Assist: I. Lago
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
46'
L. Brochero ↔ M. Oses
San Miguel
🔄
58'
M. Serra ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
66'
F. Lertora
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
67'
L. Garate ↔ I. Antonio
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
72'
G. Fernandez ↔ K. Ceceri
San Miguel
🔄
72'
A. Cruz ↔ L. Delgado
San Miguel
72'
B. Nasta · Assist: D. Adin
San Miguel
🔄
78'
A. Bonansea ↔ J. Buosi
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
78'
A. Toledo ↔ N. Thaller
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
79'
F. Lertora
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
79'
M. Oses
San Miguel
🔄
81'
F. Cardozo ↔ D. Juarez
San Miguel
🔄
86'
J. Marcioni ↔ M. Munoz
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
86'
I. Lago ↔ F. Garcia
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
90+5'
I. Ramirez
San Miguel
🟨
90+5'
F. Rasmussen
Colon Santa Fe

San Miguel vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.6%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Miguel Win 28.5%
Draw 15.9%
Colon Santa Fe Win 55.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Miguel0.76
Colon Santa Fe1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Miguel San Miguel
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WLDWL
32 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Miguel San Miguel 25 matches
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 25 matches
San Miguel Statistic Colon Santa Fe
6 Wins 11
11 Draws 9
8 Losses 5
19 Goals For 32
26 Goals Against 19
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
9 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and San Miguel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Miguel have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colon Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. Colon Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 39 points while San Miguel sit 12 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colon Santa Fe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Miguel Analysis

San Miguel sit 12 with 26 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 17:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Placed 3 with 39 points from 24 outings, Colon Santa Fe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel won 0 times, Colon Santa Fe won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from San Miguel's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: San Miguel wins 0, draws 0, Colon Santa Fe wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation