ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
46'
T. Diaz ↔ G. Fernandez
San Miguel
🔄
54'
K. Dubini ↔ J. Postigo
Acassuso
🔄
54'
J. Raccio ↔ M. Monaco
Acassuso
🟨
65'
F. Cardozo
San Miguel
🔄
66'
D. Juarez ↔ M. Oses
San Miguel
🔄
72'
R. Etcheverri ↔ J. Ponce
Acassuso
🔄
80'
M. Serra ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
🔄
80'
J. Ferrero ↔ B. Nasta
San Miguel
🟨
82'
V. Serrano
Acassuso
🔄
90+5'
A. Cruz ↔ E. De la Cruz
San Miguel
🔄
90+2'
A. Hermoso ↔ D. Roberts
Acassuso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Miguel Win 66.1%
Draw 9%
Acassuso Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Miguel0.96
Acassuso0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Miguel San Miguel
WWDLW
17 GF / 24 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
17 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
9
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Miguel San Miguel 21 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 22 matches
San Miguel Statistic Acassuso
5 Wins 6
10 Draws 4
6 Losses 12
17 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 26
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
9 BTTS Yes 5
15 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Acassuso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Acassuso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

San Miguel Analysis

From their first 20 matches, San Miguel have collected 25 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso sit 16 with 19 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel won 4 times, Acassuso won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from San Miguel's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
H2H summary: San Miguel wins 4, draws 6, Acassuso wins 4

Lineups

San Miguel
Formation
Acassuso
D. Sappa
D. Sappa
D. Adin
D. Adin
D. Renteria
D. Renteria
F. Cardozo
F. Cardozo
A. Cruz
A. Cruz
I. Ramirez
I. Ramirez
M. Serra
M. Serra
D. Juarez
D. Juarez
J. Ferrero
J. Ferrero
T. Diaz
T. Diaz
L. Delgado
L. Delgado
M. Monllor
M. Monllor
R. Etcheverri
R. Etcheverri
D. N. Bellatti S.
D. N. Bellatti S.
L. Pioli
L. Pioli
B. Dordoni
B. Dordoni
R. Reynoso
R. Reynoso
J. Raccio
J. Raccio
K. Dubini
K. Dubini
A. Hermoso
A. Hermoso
T. Rodriguez
T. Rodriguez
V. Serrano
V. Serrano
San Miguel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Sappa
4
D. Adin
2
D. Renteria
6
F. Cardozo
🟨 65'
3
A. Cruz
↓ 90+5'
5
I. Ramirez
8
M. Serra
↓ 80'
7
D. Juarez
↓ 66'
10
J. Ferrero
↓ 80'
11
T. Diaz
↓ 46'
9
L. Delgado
Substitutes
13
F. Aguirre
16
F. Almeida
↑ 80'
17
L. Brochero
19
G. Fernandez
↑ 46'
12
M. Ledesma Reynoso
20
B. Nasta
↑ 80'
18
M. Oses
↑ 66'
14
L. Perez
15
E. De la Cruz
↑ 90+5'
Acassuso 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Monllor
4
R. Etcheverri
↓ 72'
2
D. N. Bellatti S.
6
L. Pioli
3
B. Dordoni
7
R. Reynoso
5
J. Raccio
↓ 54' 🟨 21'
8
K. Dubini
↓ 54'
10
A. Hermoso
↓ 90+2'
9
T. Rodriguez
11
V. Serrano
🟨 82'
Substitutes
12
J. Luque
13
J. Ghiraldello
14
J. Ponce
↑ 72'
15
D. Roberts
↑ 90+2'
16
J. Postigo
↑ 54'
17
M. Monaco
↑ 54'
18
L. Rey
19
A. Gonzalez
20
N. Acosta
Last matches: San Miguel
26.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
0
3
L
22.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
15.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
Last matches: Acassuso
26.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
2
L
21.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
14.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
1
4
L
01.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
H2H: San Miguel vs Acassuso
26.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
20.06.26
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
W
01.07.23
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
2
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
1
D
20.08.22
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
24.04.22
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
2
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
4
1
L
17.04.21
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
16.02.20
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
0
D
09.03.19
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
0
W
23.10.18
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
1
1
D
18.04.18
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
1
L
30.11.17
H2H
Acassuso
San Miguel
1
1
D
Last matches: San Miguel
22.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
15.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
2
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
0
W
25.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
11.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
28.10.23
Pri
San Miguel
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
23.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
2
2
D
09.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
2
1
W
26.08.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Merlo
4
1
W
05.08.23
Pri
San Miguel
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
22.07.23
Pri
San Miguel
UAI Urquiza
0
1
L
H2H at home: San Miguel
26.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
1
D
20.08.22
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
17.04.21
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
16.02.20
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
09.03.19
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
0
W
18.04.18
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
1
L
Last matches: Acassuso
09.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
1
4
L
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
3
2
W
21.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
10.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Real Pilar
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
16.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Argentino Quilmes
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Flandria
2
1
W
10.10.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Laferrere
1
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
Acassuso
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
H2H away: Acassuso
26.07.26
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
1
D
20.08.22
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
L
17.04.21
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
L
16.02.20
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
09.03.19
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
1
0
L
18.04.18
H2H
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 26 13 7 6 41:24 17 46
D D W W L
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 10 5 38:24 14 43
W W D W W
5 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
6 26 11 7 8 29:24 5 40
L W L W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
12 26 6 11 9 20:28 -8 29
L L W L L
13 26 7 7 12 25:29 -4 28
W W L L W
14 26 6 10 10 17:25 -8 28
D W D D W
15 26 6 9 11 22:30 -8 27
W D L L W
16 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
17 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
18 26 5 7 14 19:32 -13 22
L L D L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation