ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio La Ciudadela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 47.1%
Draw 20%
San Martin S.J. Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman0.91
San Martin S.J.0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WLDWL
24 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
9
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 25 matches
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 23 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic San Martin S.J.
7 Wins 8
11 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
22 Goals For 24
20 Goals Against 22
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
9 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 0
11 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and San Martin S.J.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Martin S.J.. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. San Martin S.J. arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin S.J. having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

From their first 22 matches, San Martin Tucuman have collected 30 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

San Martin S.J. approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 26 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 21:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 4 times, San Martin S.J. won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 4, draws 3, San Martin S.J. wins 1
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
01.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
01.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Almagro
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Platense
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Patronato
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Colegiales
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Quilmes
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Midland
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Tristan Suarez
1
2
L
H2H: San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin S.J.
21.03.26
H2H
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
22.08.23
H2H
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
09.04.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
4
1
W
28.07.22
H2H
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
W
02.03.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
04.11.18
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Martin Tucuman
31.08.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
4
1
W
02.03.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
04.11.18
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
26.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Almagro
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Platense
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Colegiales
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Midland
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Tristan Suarez
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
H2H away: San Martin S.J.
31.08.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
4
1
L
02.03.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
0
1
W
04.11.18
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
2
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 35:25 10 41
L W D D W
2 22 10 9 3 21:12 9 39
W W W L D
3 23 9 10 4 24:20 4 37
L W W D W
4 22 11 3 8 28:22 6 36
L L W L L
5 22 9 7 6 23:16 7 34
D W W D D
6 23 9 5 9 31:24 7 32
W L D W W
7 22 8 7 7 22:22 0 31
W W D W D
8 23 8 7 8 17:19 -2 31
D W L L L
9 23 7 9 7 21:19 2 30
L L D W W
10 22 8 5 9 21:21 0 29
W W L L W
11 22 7 8 7 20:20 0 29
W L D L W
12 22 8 5 9 20:24 -4 29
D W L W W
13 21 7 6 8 22:22 0 27
D L W L W
14 22 7 5 10 18:23 -5 26
W L D W D
15 22 6 7 9 21:20 1 25
D L L W L
16 22 4 11 7 16:21 -5 23
D L D L D
17 23 5 8 10 18:28 -10 23
L W D D L
18 22 5 4 13 20:39 -19 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation