ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio La Ciudadela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.6%
1.97
BTTS No
65.8%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.57
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 59.6%
Draw 5.5%
Quilmes Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman0.82
Quilmes0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
6
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 17 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 15 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Quilmes
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 14
13 Goals Against 11
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
6 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Quilmes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

So far, San Martin Tucuman have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 21 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes sit 14 with 17 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:11, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 3 times, Quilmes won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 3, draws 5, Quilmes wins 2
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
Last matches: Quilmes
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
0
1
L
H2H: San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes
28.09.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
26.05.25
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
W
22.07.24
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
W
05.03.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
27.04.22
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
L
05.04.22
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
2
2
D
06.11.21
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
13.07.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
2
L
04.04.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
15.10.19
H2H
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
1
4
W
19.11.17
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Martin Tucuman
28.09.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
05.03.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
13.07.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
2
L
04.04.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
19.11.17
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
Last matches: Quilmes
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
0
1
L
H2H away: Quilmes
28.09.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
05.03.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
13.07.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
2
W
04.04.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
19.11.17
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.99
Draw 2.91
Home 1.97
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.09
Draw 1.86
Home 2.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.25 1.48
Over 1.5 1.72
Over 1.75 1.96
Over 2.0 2.42
Over 2.25 2.84
Over 2.5 3.24
Over 3.5 6.95
Under 0.5 5.25
Under 1.25 2.66
Under 1.5 2.15
Under 1.75 1.87
Under 2.0 1.57
Under 2.25 1.43
Under 2.5 1.34
Under 3.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.10
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 1.83
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.05
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 2.5 3.40
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 17.00
Over 5.5 41.00
Under 0.5 5.00
Under 1.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.66
Draw 2.82
Home 1.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.08
Draw 1.74
Home 2.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.28
Draw 2.02
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 0.75 1.13
Over 1.0 1.18
Over 1.25 1.44
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 1.75 1.88
Over 2.0 2.26
Over 2.25 2.63
Over 2.5 3.04
Over 2.75 3.85
Over 3.0 5.65
Over 3.25 6.14
Over 3.5 6.60
Over 3.75 9.85
Over 4.0 9.90
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.25
Under 0.75 4.59
Under 1.0 3.88
Under 1.25 2.58
Under 1.5 2.08
Under 1.75 1.82
Under 2.0 1.51
Under 2.25 1.38
Under 2.5 1.29
Under 2.75 1.18
Under 3.0 1.08
Under 3.25 1.06
Under 3.5 1.05
Under 3.75 1.01
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 3.00
Home 1.97
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 1.93
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.17
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.0 1.17
Over 1.25 1.37
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 1.75 1.75
Over 2.0 2.08
Over 2.25 2.45
Over 2.5 2.80
Over 2.75 3.40
Over 3.0 4.70
Over 3.25 5.00
Over 3.5 5.40
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.0 4.35
Under 1.25 2.80
Under 1.5 2.23
Under 1.75 1.94
Under 2.0 1.65
Under 2.25 1.48
Under 2.5 1.37
Under 2.75 1.26
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.13
Under 3.5 1.11

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:13 10 28
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 15 6 8 1 13:8 5 26
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 15 6 7 2 18:13 5 25
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 15 7 4 4 15:11 4 25
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 15 6 5 4 20:15 5 23
?
6 15 6 3 6 22:18 4 21
?
7 15 5 7 3 16:11 5 22
?
7 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 9:10 -1 20
?
9 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 15 4 8 3 12:15 -3 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 15 5 3 7 14:17 -3 18
?
13 15 3 8 4 16:15 1 17
?
13 15 4 6 5 10:13 -3 18
?
14 15 4 4 7 13:18 -5 16
?
14 15 4 5 6 14:11 3 17
?
15 15 3 6 6 12:16 -4 15
?
15 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
16 15 3 6 6 8:15 -7 15
?
16 15 4 5 6 12:17 -5 17
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?
18 15 1 6 8 11:20 -9 9
?
18 15 4 4 7 15:23 -8 16
?