ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Ciudadela
San Martin Tucuman
Match Timeline
Almagro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
G. Carabajal
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
22'
J. Marchioni
Almagro
37'
A. Veliez · Assist: B. Cabrera
San Martin Tucuman
45'
L. Arfaras
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
J. Vitale ↔ M. Cortave
Almagro
🔄
46'
J. Marchioni ↔ M. Laba
Almagro
🔄
46'
E. Martinez ↔ T. Dornell
Almagro
🟨
47'
L. Arfaras
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
58'
J. Bustos ↔ C. Salto
Almagro
🔄
60'
L. Arfaras ↔ D. Diellos
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
72'
A. Veliez ↔ G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
72'
B. Cabrera ↔ G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
72'
C. Salto ↔ P. Palacio
Almagro
🔄
80'
A. Graneros ↔ L. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
88'
G. Carabajal
San Martin Tucuman

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.64
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
1.64
BTTS No
56%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.42
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 1-0
-
4.50
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 55.5%
Draw 11.8%
Almagro Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman0.89
Almagro0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
17 GF / 16 GA
Almagro Almagro
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 21 matches
Almagro Almagro 19 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Almagro
6 Wins 7
10 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
17 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 19
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 10
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Almagro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almagro. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almagro having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman sit 12 with 23 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almagro Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Almagro have collected 25 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 16:19 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 6 times, Almagro won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:4 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: San Martin Tucuman - / Almagro 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 6, draws 6, Almagro wins 0
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
W
Last matches: Almagro
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
H2H: San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro
12.07.26
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
21.02.26
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
23.07.23
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
19.03.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
2
0
W
09.02.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
24.10.19
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
W
17.03.18
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
11.06.17
H2H
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
3
W
13.11.16
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Martin Tucuman
12.07.26
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
14.06.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
2
0
W
09.02.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
13.11.16
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
Last matches: Almagro
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
H2H away: Almagro
12.07.26
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
L
19.03.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
2
0
L
09.02.20
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
13.11.16
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.64
Draw 3.44
Away 6.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.33
Draw 2.00
Away 7.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.61
Under 1.5 2.36
Over 1.75 1.79
Under 1.75 2.06
Over 2.0 2.12
Under 2.0 1.74
Over 2.25 2.49
Under 2.25 1.54
Over 2.5 2.84
Under 2.5 1.42
Over 3.5 5.82
Under 3.5 1.14
Over 0.5 1.12
Under 0.5 6.23
Over 1.25 1.40
Under 1.25 3.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.62
Draw 3.10
Away 8.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.30
Draw 1.95
Away 8.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.95
Draw 2.20
Away 7.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.57
Under 1.5 2.25
Over 2.5 2.88
Under 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 6.00
Under 3.5 1.12
Over 0.5 1.14
Under 0.5 5.50
Over 4.5 15.00
Under 4.5 1.03
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.61
Draw 3.18
Away 6.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.30
Draw 1.86
Away 7.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.04
Draw 2.19
Away 6.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.56
Under 1.5 2.27
Over 1.75 1.74
Under 1.75 1.98
Over 2.0 1.98
Under 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 2.30
Under 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 3.20
Under 2.75 1.26
Over 3.5 5.15
Under 3.5 1.10
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 5.55
Over 0.75 1.11
Under 0.75 4.94
Over 1.0 1.14
Under 1.0 4.33
Over 1.25 1.37
Under 1.25 2.84
Over 3.0 4.40
Under 3.0 1.14
Over 4.5 11.00
Under 4.5 1.03
Over 3.25 4.80
Under 3.25 1.11
Over 3.75 6.87
Under 3.75 1.05
Over 4.0 8.70
Under 4.0 1.02
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.64
Draw 3.40
Away 5.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.30
Draw 2.05
Away 6.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.06
Draw 2.32
Away 5.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.48
Under 1.5 2.43
Over 1.75 1.62
Under 1.75 2.14
Over 2.0 1.87
Under 2.0 1.82
Over 2.25 2.18
Under 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 3.00
Under 2.75 1.32
Over 3.5 4.80
Under 3.5 1.14
Over 0.5 1.09
Under 0.5 6.00
Over 1.0 1.13
Under 1.0 4.90
Over 1.25 1.30
Under 1.25 3.10
Over 3.0 4.10
Under 3.0 1.19
Over 3.25 4.40
Under 3.25 1.16

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 5 4 32:22 10 38
D D W W W
2 19 10 3 6 24:15 9 33
L L W W D
3 20 8 9 3 17:11 6 33
W L D W D
4 20 7 10 3 19:17 2 31
D W D W W
5 20 8 6 6 21:15 6 30
W D D L L
6 20 7 8 5 19:15 4 29
W W D L D
7 20 8 4 8 27:21 6 28
W W D L L
8 20 7 6 7 15:16 -1 27
L L D D W
9 19 7 5 7 20:19 1 26
W L W L
10 19 6 7 6 17:17 0 25
L W D L W
11 20 6 7 7 19:21 -2 25
D W D L W
12 20 7 4 9 16:22 -6 25
L W W W D
13 20 6 6 8 18:16 2 24
L W L W D
14 19 6 5 8 18:19 -1 23
L W W L D
15 20 6 5 9 16:21 -5 23
D W D L L
16 20 4 10 6 13:17 -4 22
D L D D D
17 20 4 7 9 14:24 -10 19
D L L L D
18 20 5 4 11 18:34 -16 19
L L L L W
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation