ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.09.2026 21:30
Estadio La Ciudadela
San Martin Tucuman
Match Timeline
Agropecuario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
E. Aguirre ↔ B. Aranda
Agropecuario
🟨
51'
B. Aranda
Agropecuario
🟨
56'
N. Gallardo
San Martin Tucuman
64'
G. Carabajal · Assist: M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
65'
G. Carabajal
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
65'
R. Castro ↔ D. Ruiz Diaz
Agropecuario
🔄
65'
J. Vega ↔ J. Valdez
Agropecuario
🟨
67'
J. Juarez
San Martin Tucuman
70'
B. Cabrera · Assist: A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
72'
A. Cisnero · Assist: S. Brinone
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
A. Cisnero ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
M. Veron ↔ A. Veliez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
G. Carabajal ↔ D. Diellos
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
80'
A. Aguirre ↔ L. Barrera
Agropecuario
🔄
80'
M. Ramos ↔ F. Sanchez
Agropecuario
🔄
88'
J. Juarez ↔ V. Salazar
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
88'
A. Graneros ↔ N. Castro
San Martin Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
1.85
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.35
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 73.6%
Draw 8%
Agropecuario Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman1.01
Agropecuario0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
Agropecuario Agropecuario
WLDWL
25 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
13
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 30 matches
Agropecuario Agropecuario 29 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Agropecuario
8 Wins 8
14 Draws 9
8 Losses 12
28 Goals For 25
27 Goals Against 33
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
13 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 22
7 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and Agropecuario's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Agropecuario. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Agropecuario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 11 in the standings with 36 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 27:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Agropecuario Analysis

Agropecuario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 30 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats with a 23:31 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 6 times, Agropecuario won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 6, draws 5, Agropecuario wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation