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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.10.2026 20:00
San Martin S.J.
Match Timeline
Almagro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
G. Asis
Almagro
⚽
44'
N. Funez · Assist: N. Funez
San Martin S.J.
⚽
47'
F. Coronel · Assist: L. Monje
San Martin S.J.
⚽
50'
F. De La Vega · Assist: J. Vitale
Almagro
🔄
57'
L. Monje ↔ S. Jaurena
San Martin S.J.
🟨
58'
J. Fernandes
Almagro
🔄
63'
J. Fernandes ↔ U. Villalobos
Almagro
🔄
63'
F. Bustamante ↔ T. Lopez
Almagro
🔄
67'
M. Osores ↔ J. Marchio
San Martin S.J.
🔄
67'
L. Ferreyra ↔ B. Juncos
San Martin S.J.
⚽
67'
S. Chamorro · Assist: E. Martinez
Almagro
🔄
71'
F. De La Vega ↔ J. Orlando
Almagro
🔄
81'
F. Coronel ↔ L. Acosta
San Martin S.J.
🔄
81'
F. Murillo ↔ G. Rossi
San Martin S.J.
🟨
85'
E. Aguilera
San Martin S.J.
🔄
87'
E. Martinez ↔ F. Marco
Almagro
🔄
87'
T. Macies ↔ J. Flores
Almagro

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Martin S.J. Win 67.5%
Draw 3.9%
Almagro Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin S.J.1.11
Almagro0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WWDLW
35 GF / 30 GA
Almagro Almagro
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
16
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 33 matches
Almagro Almagro 31 matches
San Martin S.J. Statistic Almagro
13 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 14
35 Goals For 26
30 Goals Against 37
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
16 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Martin S.J.'s more proactive style and Almagro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. San Martin S.J. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 45 points compared to Almagro in 14 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almagro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almagro.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

From their first 30 matches, San Martin S.J. have collected 45 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Almagro Analysis

Almagro sit 14 with 35 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, San Martin S.J. won 4 times, Almagro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from San Martin S.J.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: San Martin S.J. wins 4, draws 1, Almagro wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation