19.09.2026 20:00
Francisco Boga Stadium

San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martín Burzaco Win 32.6%
Draw 4.9%
Deportivo Laferrere Win 62.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martín Burzaco1.08
Deportivo Laferrere1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WWDLW
33 GF / 36 GA
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
WLDWL
42 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 35 matches
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere 35 matches
San Martín Burzaco Statistic Deportivo Laferrere
10 Wins 12
14 Draws 12
11 Losses 11
33 Goals For 42
36 Goals Against 45
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 28
10 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 7
15 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Laferrere having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportivo Laferrere.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

So far, San Martín Burzaco have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 41 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 31:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Laferrere Analysis

Deportivo Laferrere are currently 10 in the standings with 47 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 41:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Burzaco won 3 times, Deportivo Laferrere won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from San Martín Burzaco's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: San Martín Burzaco wins 3, draws 4, Deportivo Laferrere wins 7

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)