05.09.2026 18:00
Francisco Boga Stadium

San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.5%
1.40
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.73
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
San Martín Burzaco Win 37.5%
Draw 23.3%
Deportivo Armenio Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martín Burzaco1.05
Deportivo Armenio1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WWDLW
31 GF / 36 GA
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
WLDWL
36 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
12
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 33 matches
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio 34 matches
San Martín Burzaco Statistic Deportivo Armenio
9 Wins 13
13 Draws 8
11 Losses 13
31 Goals For 36
36 Goals Against 41
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
12 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 12
15 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Armenio having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Armenio arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Armenio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

So far, San Martín Burzaco have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 40 points from 32 matches. The record of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 31:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Armenio Analysis

Deportivo Armenio sit 9 with 44 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:37 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Burzaco won 3 times, Deportivo Armenio won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from San Martín Burzaco's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: San Martín Burzaco wins 3, draws 5, Deportivo Armenio wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)