ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Francisco Boga Stadium
San Martín Burzaco
Match Timeline
Argentino Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes
38'
M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
41'
M. Escudero
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
48'
F. Lando
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
48'
R. Lazarev
San Martín Burzaco
50'
R. Lazarev
San Martín Burzaco
55'
L. Geneiro
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
56'
C. Cuenca ↔ R. Velazquez
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
62'
M. Ceccotti ↔ J. Cettou
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
70'
S. Castano
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
73'
M. Escudero ↔ L. Lezcano
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
73'
L. Geneiro ↔ A. Funes
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
74'
L. Guzman ↔ D. Pena
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
74'
M. Compagnucci ↔ E. Torancio
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
83'
S. Modon ↔ R. Diaz
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
83'
R. Peralta ↔ L. Costa
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
87'
R. Diaz
San Martín Burzaco
88'
R. Velazquez
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
89'
R. Velazquez
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
89'
L. Escudero ↔ A. Cecconato
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
89'
L. Filosa ↔ J. Scarel
Argentino Quilmes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.5%
1.50
BTTS No
60.3%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.49
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
San Martín Burzaco Win 29.5%
Draw 24%
Argentino Quilmes Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martín Burzaco0.93
Argentino Quilmes0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WWDLW
28 GF / 32 GA
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
11
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 31 matches
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 31 matches
San Martín Burzaco Statistic Argentino Quilmes
8 Wins 8
13 Draws 13
10 Losses 10
28 Goals For 26
32 Goals Against 30
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
11 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Martín Burzaco have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino Quilmes having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Argentino Quilmes.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

San Martín Burzaco sit 13 with 37 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 28:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

With 37 points from 30 games and a place of 14, Argentino Quilmes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Burzaco won 2 times, Argentino Quilmes won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from San Martín Burzaco's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76%)
H2H summary: San Martín Burzaco wins 2, draws 2, Argentino Quilmes wins 11

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)