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18.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica
Match Timeline
D. Puerto Montt
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
54'
D. Diaz
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
57'
J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
60'
L. Vazquez ↔ B. Taiva
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
60'
D. Diaz ↔ F. Espinoza
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
64'
A. Maidana ↔ B. Sagredo
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
64'
A. Barrios ↔ C. Guerra
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
76'
A. Barboza
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
77'
K. Gonzalez ↔ B. Nieto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
77'
J. Flores ↔ J. Gonzalez
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
79'
G. Cubillos ↔ R. Campos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
79'
N. Donadell ↔ A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
79'
I. Orrego ↔ D. Pereira
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
83'
J. Rivera
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
86'
G. Castillo
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
87'
A. Sabella ↔ N. Mancilla
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
88'
G. Cubillos
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Marcos de Arica Win 83.7%
Draw 8.2%
D. Puerto Montt Win 8.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos de Arica1.12
D. Puerto Montt1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
L W W L W
8 GF / 7 GA
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
L L L L W
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
16
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 33 matches
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 36 matches
San Marcos de Arica Statistic D. Puerto Montt
10 Wins 14
10 Draws 5
13 Losses 17
35 Goals For 37
40 Goals Against 44
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
16 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and D. Puerto Montt's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward D. Puerto Montt. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward D. Puerto Montt having the stronger overall control. D. Puerto Montt arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

So far, San Marcos de Arica have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 39 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 33:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

D. Puerto Montt approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 34 points from 26 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 2 times, D. Puerto Montt won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.8%)
Predicted formations: San Marcos de Arica - / D. Puerto Montt 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: San Marcos de Arica wins 2, draws 3, D. Puerto Montt wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 52:30 22 54
W W L W W
2 29 15 9 5 44:30 14 54
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 48:32 16 50
W W L L L
4 29 13 9 7 51:26 25 48
W D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 45:44 1 46
L L W W W
6 29 11 10 8 35:28 7 43
W D L W W
7 29 11 9 9 41:43 -2 42
D L L W D
8 29 11 8 10 43:42 1 41
D L W W W
9 29 11 6 12 34:37 -3 39
L W L L D
10 29 9 11 9 42:33 9 38
W D W W W
11 29 11 5 13 29:36 -7 38
W D L L L
12 30 9 9 12 46:45 1 36
L L D W L
13 30 8 10 12 30:47 -17 34
W L D W L
14 29 4 12 13 29:43 -14 24
D D L L D
15 29 5 8 16 19:53 -34 23
L D L L L
16 29 5 6 18 28:47 -19 21
L L W L L