CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica
Match Timeline
Cobreloa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
C. Melivilu Fuentes
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
40'
J. Rivera
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
C. Rencoret ↔ A. Barrios
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
Y. Gonzalez ↔ A. Delgado
Cobreloa
56'
F. Velazco
Cobreloa
🟨
62'
G. Cubillos
San Marcos de Arica
72'
C. Melivilu Fuentes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
74'
B. Sagredo ↔ G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
74'
A. Galleguillos ↔ A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
75'
F. Velazco ↔ M. Sandoval
Cobreloa
🟨
77'
G. Gotti
Cobreloa
🔄
84'
T. Aranguiz ↔ E. Gallardo
Cobreloa
🔄
85'
A. Cazula ↔ M. Iturra
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
90+3'
B. Tapia
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
90+5'
G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
90'
C. Melivilu Fuentes ↔ N. Zedan
San Marcos de Arica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.4%
-
Probability Distribution
San Marcos de Arica Win 32.5%
Draw 15%
Cobreloa Win 52.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos de Arica0.85
Cobreloa1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WWDLW
8 GF / 9 GA
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WLDWL
16 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 9 matches
Cobreloa Cobreloa 10 matches
San Marcos de Arica Statistic Cobreloa
2 Wins 4
6 Draws 5
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 16
9 Goals Against 8
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
4 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cobreloa. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cobreloa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while San Marcos de Arica sit 7 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cobreloa having the stronger overall control.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 8:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Melivilu Fuentes (4 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), J. Rivera (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cobreloa Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 7 games, Cobreloa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by G. Gotti (6 goals), S. Zuniga (4 goals), A. Delgado (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, Cobreloa won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: San Marcos de Arica wins 5, draws 4, Cobreloa wins 6

Lineups

San Marcos de Arica
Formation
Cobreloa
B. Tapia
B. Tapia
G. Cubillos
G. Cubillos
A. Cazula
A. Cazula
J. Rivera
J. Rivera
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
C. Guerra
C. Guerra
C. Rencoret
C. Rencoret
B. Sagredo
B. Sagredo
N. Donadell
N. Donadell
C. Melivilu Fuentes
⚽ 2
C. Melivilu Fuentes
A. Galleguillos
A. Galleguillos
D. Tapia
D. Tapia
Y. Gonzalez
Y. Gonzalez
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
L. Cornejo
L. Cornejo
T. Aranguiz
T. Aranguiz
C. Muga
C. Muga
J. Gatica
J. Gatica
F. Velazco
F. Velazco
S. Zuniga
S. Zuniga
G. Gotti
G. Gotti
San Marcos de Arica 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
B. Tapia
🟨 90+3'
15
G. Cubillos
🟨 62'
23
A. Cazula
↓ 85'
5
J. Rivera
🟨 40'
3
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
14
C. Guerra
26
C. Rencoret
↓ 46'
10
B. Sagredo
↓ 74'
22
N. Donadell
9
C. Melivilu Fuentes
⚽ 8' ⚽ 72' ↓ 90'
18
A. Galleguillos
↓ 74'
Substitutes
1
R. Saracho
4
M. Iturra
↑ 85'
8
A. Barrios
↑ 46'
11
N. Zedan
↑ 90'
16
G. Reyes
↑ 74' 🟨 90+5'
20
A. Abalos
↑ 74'
24
D. Pereira
Cobreloa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
D. Tapia
3
Y. Gonzalez
↓ 46'
15
D. Garcia
5
R. Gonzalez
8
L. Cornejo
14
T. Aranguiz
↓ 84'
21
C. Muga
29
J. Gatica
32
F. Velazco
⚽ 56' ↓ 75'
7
S. Zuniga
11
G. Gotti
🟨 77'
Substitutes
1
H. E. Araya Tobar
18
J. Mendez
20
F. Matamoros
22
A. Delgado
↑ 46'
24
R. Porras
27
M. Sandoval
↑ 75'
31
E. Gallardo
↑ 84'
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
10.05.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
Last matches: Cobreloa
25.07.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Santa Cruz
4
2
W
12.07.26
Cop
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Cobreloa
Cobresal
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Cobreloa
Cobresal
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Cobreloa
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
21.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Recoleta
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Copiapo
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Santiago Wanderers
1
5
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Antofagasta
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobreloa
San Luis
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Union Espanola
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Magallanes
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Iquique
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Curico Unido
5
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Temuco
3
1
W
08.02.26
Cop
Cobreloa
Antofagasta
0
0
D
H2H: San Marcos de Arica vs Cobreloa
18.04.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
L
26.11.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
19.07.25
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
1
1
D
29.06.24
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
23.06.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
1
L
01.07.23
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
18.06.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
10.02.23
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
2
1
L
29.08.21
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
18.04.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
03.11.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
01.03.20
H2H
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
L
24.03.19
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
22.03.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
1
0
W
01.02.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
2
1
W
28.01.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
1
L
31.05.19
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
2
L
24.03.19
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
H2H at home: San Marcos de Arica
18.04.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
26.11.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
1
L
18.06.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
18.04.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
03.11.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
24.03.19
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
Last matches: Cobreloa
05.07.26
Cop
Cobreloa
Cobresal
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Cobreloa
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
21.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Recoleta
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Santiago Wanderers
1
5
L
11.04.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Union Espanola
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Iquique
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Cobreloa
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
30.01.26
Cop
Cobreloa
Antofagasta
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Cobreloa
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
02.07.25
Cop
Cobreloa
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
06.04.25
Cop
Cobreloa
Antofagasta
3
0
W
09.02.25
Cop
Cobreloa
Deportes Iquique
0
2
L
28.01.25
Cop
Cobreloa
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
07.07.24
Cop
Cobreloa
Deportes Iquique
0
2
L
23.06.24
Cop
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
15.06.24
Cop
Cobreloa
Barcelona Copiapó
3
0
W
04.10.23
Cop
Cobreloa
Colo Colo
0
1
L
20.08.23
Cop
Cobreloa
Cobresal
3
1
W
08.04.23
Cop
Cobreloa
Ojanco
5
0
W
H2H away: Cobreloa
18.04.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
L
26.11.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
1
W
18.06.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
L
18.04.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
03.11.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
L
24.03.19
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
L

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 8 5 3 31:18 13 29
W L D W W
2 15 8 5 2 30:17 13 29
D W D W L
3 15 6 7 2 19:11 8 25
L L W D D
4 16 6 5 5 26:19 7 23
L L W W W
5 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
D L D D W
6 15 6 5 4 24:21 3 23
W D W W L
7 15 7 2 6 17:16 1 23
D L L L W
8 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
D D L W W
9 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D W L W L
10 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D D D L W
11 15 6 4 5 21:23 -2 22
W D W L W
12 15 4 6 5 16:24 -8 18
W W D L D
13 16 3 7 6 20:23 -3 16
W D L D L
14 16 4 4 8 13:29 -16 16
L D W L W
15 15 2 6 7 19:26 -7 12
W D D L L
16 15 0 3 12 11:28 -17 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Liga de Primera
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - Segunda Division