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CHILE › PRIMERA B
24.10.2026 20:30

San Luis vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Luis Win 62.3%
Draw 4.6%
Recoleta Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Luis1.53
Recoleta1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Luis San Luis
WWDLW
53 GF / 39 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
45 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
21
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Luis San Luis 33 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 33 matches
San Luis Statistic Recoleta
15 Wins 12
11 Draws 10
7 Losses 11
53 Goals For 45
39 Goals Against 47
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
21 BTTS Yes 21
26 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. San Luis come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

San Luis Analysis

San Luis approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 50 points after 27 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 42:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta are currently 6 in the standings with 41 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 39:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, San Luis won 5 times, Recoleta won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from San Luis's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: San Luis wins 5, draws 3, Recoleta wins 2

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 14 8 5 42:29 13 50
W W W W W
2 27 13 9 5 45:29 16 48
L W W D L
3 28 13 8 7 46:31 15 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
5 27 12 8 7 47:26 21 44
W W L D L
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 27 11 7 9 42:40 2 40
W W W D L
8 27 10 9 8 33:27 6 39
L W W L W
9 27 10 6 11 32:35 -3 36
L L D L D
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 27 8 10 9 36:30 6 34
W W W L L
12 27 10 4 13 26:35 -9 34
L L L L W
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 27 5 7 15 16:48 -32 22
L L L L D
16 28 5 6 17 28:46 -18 21
L W L L W