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11.10.2026 17:45
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Referee: Bruno Amiconi, Argentina
San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Deportivo Riestra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Alexis Cuello
San Lorenzo
🟨
41'
Alexander Díaz
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
42'
Emiliano Amor
San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
G. Alassia ↔ A. Ladstatter
San Lorenzo
🟨
52'
Braian Sánchez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
54'
B. Sanchez ↔ A. Almada
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
58'
Mariano Bracamonte
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
60'
A. Cuello ↔ G. del Prete
San Lorenzo
⚽
67'
T. Rodriguez Pagano · Assist: R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
🔄
70'
M. Bracamonte ↔ J. Goitia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
70'
A. Diaz ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
70'
A. Alonso ↔ G. Obredor
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
78'
F. Gulli ↔ M. Rio
San Lorenzo
🔄
80'
N. Sansotre ↔ N. Benegas
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
88'
Ángel Almada
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
89'
Rodrigo Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
🔄
90+1'
R. Auzmendi ↔ E. Herrera
San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Lorenzo Win 70.3%
Draw 10.6%
Deportivo Riestra Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Lorenzo0.83
Deportivo Riestra0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
L L D W L
2 GF / 7 GA
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
D D L D D
3 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.58
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
9
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
3
3.64
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 30 matches
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 31 matches
San Lorenzo Statistic Deportivo Riestra
9 Wins 4
11 Draws 16
10 Losses 11
25 Goals For 18
27 Goals Against 26
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.58
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
14 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 17
3.64 Shots On Goal 3.48
10.75 Total Shots 10.22
3.79 Corners 3.78
48.3% Ball Possession 36%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Deportivo Riestra in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Riestra having the stronger overall control. San Lorenzo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 22 points compared to Deportivo Riestra in 15 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Riestra.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Auzmendi (4 goals), A. Cuello (2 goals), E. Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from M. Reali (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

With 11 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Deportivo Riestra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (3 goals), M. Céliz (2 goals), Alexander Díaz (2 goals), with creative support from Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (1 assists), M. Bracamonte (1 assists), N. Sansotre (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 1 times, Deportivo Riestra won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2 / Deportivo Riestra 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Lorenzo wins 1, draws 3, Deportivo Riestra wins 1

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 21:10 11 32
W W D W W
2 14 7 6 1 23:13 10 27
W W L D W
3 14 7 6 1 22:14 8 27
W W D W W
4 14 8 3 3 20:13 7 27
W L W W D
5 14 7 3 4 17:10 7 24
D W W D W
6 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W L D W
7 14 6 2 6 16:15 1 20
L L W L D
8 14 5 4 5 12:14 -2 19
L D D L W
9 14 5 3 6 7:12 -5 18
D W W L L
10 14 5 2 7 21:23 -2 17
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 17:18 -1 14
L L D W L
12 14 3 5 6 14:20 -6 14
W L D D L
13 14 2 6 6 10:14 -4 12
L D L D D
14 14 2 4 8 11:23 -12 10
L L D D D
15 14 2 3 9 13:22 -9 9
L L D L L
Knockout Phase