🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.05.2026 02:30
PayPal Park
Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
P. Judd · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
25'
Ronaldo Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
36'
Daniel
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
36'
Benjamin Kikanović
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
C. Sabaly ↔ E. Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
55'
Sebastian Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
62'
P. Marie ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
63'
J. Badwal ↔ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
70'
B. Caicedo ↔ A. Jackson
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
72'
O. Bouda ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
76'
S. Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
79'
Jack Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90+6'
J. Ricketts ↔ J. Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90+6'
P. Judd ↔ N. Adimabua
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 69.3%
Draw 6%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.65
Vancouver Whitecaps1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
32 GF / 11 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
31 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.72
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
9
5.91
Shots on Goal
6.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 18 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
12 Wins 10
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
32 Goals For 31
11 Goals Against 17
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
6 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 5
5.91 Shots On Goal 6.36
15.27 Total Shots 17.64
7.64 Corners 6.64
49.5% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vancouver Whitecaps.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 28 points after 11 matches. With 9 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Judd (7 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), B. Leroux (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 25 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 26:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on B. White (8 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), M. Laborda (3 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (4 assists), M. Laborda (2 assists), Emmanuel Sabbi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 5 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 5, Vancouver Whitecaps 7
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 5, draws 5, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)