🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
PayPal Park
Referee: E. Arreguin
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Orlando City SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
D. Brekalo · Assist: E. Atuesta
Orlando City SC
29'
I. Angulo · Assist: E. Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🟨
36'
Eduard Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🟨
45+1'
Timo Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
N. Fernandez ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
48'
A. Griezmann · Assist: J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🟨
52'
Ronaldo Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
59'
Tiago ↔ T. Spicer
Orlando City SC
🟨
67'
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
73'
B. Ojeda · Assist: E. Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🔄
74'
J. Ricketts ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
74'
T. Werner ↔ D. Johnson
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
79'
E. Atuesta ↔ Luis Otavio
Orlando City SC
🔄
79'
A. Gomez ↔ B. Rhein
Orlando City SC
🔄
79'
I. Angulo ↔ H. Sarajian
Orlando City SC
🟨
80'
Harvey Sarajian
Orlando City SC
🔄
81'
R. Vieira ↔ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
84'
J. Ellis ↔ Z. Taifi
Orlando City SC
🔄
86'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
90+4'
Daniel Munie
San Jose Earthquakes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 72.7%
Draw 4.8%
Orlando City SC Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes2.37
Orlando City SC1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
41 GF / 21 GA
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WLDWL
30 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
2.84
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
15
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 20 matches
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 19 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Orlando City SC
13 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 11
41 Goals For 30
21 Goals Against 54
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 2.84
11 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 5
5.6 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.93 Total Shots 11.13
7.33 Corners 4
46.6% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Orlando City SC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orlando City SC having the stronger overall control. San Jose Earthquakes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 32 points compared to Orlando City SC in 12 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Orlando City SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 32 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 34:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Judd (11 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), P. Marie (4 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Orlando City SC Analysis

So far, Orlando City SC have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 23:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ojeda (11 goals), D. McGuire (2 goals), G. Dorsey (2 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (4 assists), A. Gomez (3 assists), J. Ellis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 times, Orlando City SC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Orlando City SC 3-4-3
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 4, Orlando City SC 4
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 1, draws 3, Orlando City SC wins 4
Stats
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 2
20 Fouls 10
7 Offsides 5
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 7
417 Total passes 406
337 Passes accurate 318
1.11 expected_goals 1.78
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
Formation
Orlando City SC
A. Gunn
A. Gunn
B. Kikanovic
B. Kikanovic
D. Munie
D. Munie
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
B. Leroux
B. Leroux
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
O. Bouda
O. Bouda
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
T. Werner
T. Werner
P. Judd
P. Judd
M. Crepeau
M. Crepeau
G. Dorsey
G. Dorsey
D. Brekalo
D. Brekalo
R. Jansson
R. Jansson
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
I. Angulo
I. Angulo
B. Ojeda
B. Ojeda
E. Atuesta
🎯
E. Atuesta
Tiago
Tiago
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
J. Ellis
🎯
J. Ellis
San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gunn
G
28
B. Kikanovic
D
5
D. Munie
🟨 90+4'
D
18
R. Roberts
D
2
J. Ricketts
↓ 74'
D
34
B. Leroux
↓ 86'
M
14
R. Vieira
↓ 81' 🟨 52'
M
7
O. Bouda
M
20
N. Fernandez
↓ 46'
M
11
T. Werner
↓ 74' 🟨 45+1'
M
19
P. Judd
🟨 67'
F
Substitutes
31
F. Montali
G
4
D. Romney
D
40
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
↑ 81'
M
3
P. Marie
↑ 74'
D
16
J. Skahan
↑ 46'
M
17
J. Jasinski
D
6
I. Harkes
↑ 86'
M
79
D. Johnson
↑ 74'
F
25
M. Floriani
D
Orlando City SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
71
M. Crepeau
G
24
G. Dorsey
D
4
D. Brekalo
⚽ 7'
D
6
R. Jansson
D
3
A. Gomez
↓ 79'
77
I. Angulo
⚽ 29' ↓ 79'
M
8
B. Ojeda
⚽ 73'
M
20
E. Atuesta
🎯 7' 🎯 29' 🎯 73' ↓ 79' 🟨 36'
M
11
Tiago
↓ 59'
M
7
A. Griezmann
⚽ 48'
F
22
J. Ellis
🎯 48' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Otero
G
16
W. Cartagena
M
57
Iago Teodoro
D
19
Z. Taifi
↑ 84'
M
5
Luis Otavio
↑ 79'
M
29
T. Reid-Brown
D
14
T. Spicer
↑ 59'
F
44
B. Rhein
↑ 79'
F
23
H. Sarajian
↑ 79' 🟨 80'
F
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
20.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
2
4
L
26.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
Last matches: Orlando City SC
19.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
25.07.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
H2H: San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC
23.07.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
1
L
22.06.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
5
0
L
01.09.19
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
3
0
W
21.04.18
H2H
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
L
18.05.17
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
18.06.16
H2H
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
2
D
24.05.15
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
16.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
26.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
H2H at home: San Jose Earthquakes
23.07.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
1
L
01.09.19
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
3
0
W
18.05.17
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
24.05.15
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Orlando City SC
01.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
09.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
H2H away: Orlando City SC
23.07.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
W
19.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
1
W
01.09.19
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
3
0
L
18.05.17
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
24.05.15
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
1
1
D

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

San Jose Earthquakes 4 missing
-
E. Edwards
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
D. Jones
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
N. Tsakiris
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
N. Adimabua
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
Orlando City SC 4 missing
-
N. Miller
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Guske
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
M. Ojeda
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Gerbet
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT