🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
26.07.2026 02:30
Stanford Stadium
Referee: A. Villarreal
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Paintsil · Assist: M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
20'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
43'
Lucas Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
45+3'
Julián Aude
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
60'
R. Taylor ↔ E. Wynder
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
60'
J. Aude ↔ J. Nelson
Los Angeles Galaxy
62'
R. Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
73'
N. Fernandez ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
73'
J. Skahan ↔ D. Johnson
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
79'
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
81'
Ian Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
82'
L. Sanabria ↔ I. Parente
Los Angeles Galaxy
90+5'
Timo Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
90+7'
Benjamin Kikanović
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
90'
Jamar Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
90+7'
Joseph Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 53.8%
Draw 13.9%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.76
Los Angeles Galaxy1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
41 GF / 25 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
48 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
11
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
21
5.69
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 21 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 31 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Wins 12
2 Draws 8
6 Losses 11
41 Goals For 48
25 Goals Against 46
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
11 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 28
12 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 4
5.69 Shots On Goal 5.08
13.75 Total Shots 13.04
7.06 Corners 5.38
46.9% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Los Angeles Galaxy in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles Galaxy having the stronger overall control. San Jose Earthquakes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 32 points compared to Los Angeles Galaxy in 9 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Los Angeles Galaxy. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 32 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 34:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 9 with 20 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Pec (4 goals), Marco Reus (3 goals), Joseph Paintsil (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Marco Reus (2 assists), Joseph Paintsil (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:31 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 3, draws 3, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 9

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)