San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Jose Earthquakes
30 matches
Los Angeles FC
38 matches
| San Jose Earthquakes | Statistic | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 18 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 51 | Goals For | 64 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.88 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 12.84 | Total Shots | 13.97 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 6.12 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Los Angeles FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
San Jose Earthquakes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 38 points from 24 matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 43:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Judd (10 goals), O. Bouda (4 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), with creative support from N. Tsakiris (7 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Beau Leroux (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 3 with 40 points from 25 outings, Los Angeles FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 40:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Bouanga (10 goals), Son Heung-Min (4 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (7 assists), D. Bouanga (3 assists), T. Boyd (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, Los Angeles FC won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:33 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
|
25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
Away
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|